TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa56d…82e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$3.68
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$19
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$693Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$693.05
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200.04
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.08
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.9
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,842.45
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.7%+$1,598.89
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26,000.92
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$65.22
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,803Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,802.94
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$1,045.64
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+101.1%+$18.11
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.7
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14,007Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6,002.9
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,891Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,891.45
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,000.05
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Burnley FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$314.6
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,621Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,621.45
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,317Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$901.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31,005Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$69,010.2
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$50.87
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,403Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8,602
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,303.11
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,558Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,557.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.16
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.23
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$4,154.15
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$606Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.8
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.7
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$136.05
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$159.36
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,202.4
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$882.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-75.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$112.09
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.38
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$102.69
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$131.89
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.2%+$138.37
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$76.33
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.49
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$296.31
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$327.04
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$146.51
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,151.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-62.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$167.24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$322
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$149.15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+185.7%+$127.8
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70.74
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$185.84
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,514.24
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,048.72
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid-26.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.44
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$92
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$298.44
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$163.95
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 8 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-84.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Udinese Calcio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$8.4
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$968Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$968.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+182.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$221
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+283.4%+$50.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$165.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+328%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+328%+$50.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,903Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$8,103.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$171
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$460
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30,603Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,603.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$443.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.