TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$539,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$531,688

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $539,642 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No77c268,200$206,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,653.456844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes23c238,450$54,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,843.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes23c26,513$6,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,098.0310536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Yes24c19,088$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,581.121118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No76c18,608$14,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.923063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes23c12,000$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7601172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes16c11,018$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c10,927$8,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.8963346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No77c8,700$6,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0012941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No77c8,288$6,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.2446741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes23c8,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84014953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No77c7,890$6,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.614658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes23c7,071$1,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.23944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No77c6,470$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.192161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No77c5,917$4,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.962965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes23c5,621$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c5,333$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.81,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes23c4,769$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.876952.2%36 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c4,707$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.645265.4%34 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes23c4,147$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb714…eb1bbacked No77c4,000$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3b…a436backed No77c3,600$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdc…1e04backed Yes23c3,500$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No77c3,452$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.893966.7%26 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c3,237$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.6324340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c4…fef3backed Yes23c3,167$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No77c3,085$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.55875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes23c2,849$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.84944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3923…41b4backed Yes24c2,452$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.481921.1%4 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed No77c2,416$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c2,403$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes15c2,393$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.481936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes8c2,371$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.339743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes23c2,115$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.351241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed No76c2,063$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes24c2,004$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48038048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…0f2bbacked Yes23c1,707$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.68540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed No77c1,606$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.318243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc040…9121backed Yes24c1,591$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd97…b6edbacked Yes2c1,514$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x348a…9c6bbacked Yes17c1,487$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e2…d13abacked Yes23c1,244$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes23c1,244$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.142536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes23c1,244$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.141414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed Yes17c1,150$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed No77c1,101$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.23560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No78c1,085$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.81875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No77c1,076$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.571723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-57.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes18c1,056$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.162429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Yes17c1,012$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.47825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+100.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No76c1,008$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9220948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-75.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed No77c999.98$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes9c998.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.681838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No77c986.2$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.836858.8%40 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No77c986.2$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.834866.7%32 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes18c950.9$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.68128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-86.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No77c887.58$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.145366%35 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No77c848.56$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.175257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5348…8b27backed Yes23c829.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No77c788.96$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.464070%28 W · 12 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed No77c771.44$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.431861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d3b…e3eabacked Yes3c737.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+93.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes23c725.72$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.92812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4f…628ebacked No78c701.29$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.281369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61a2…4a51backed Yes24c692.7$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c690.34$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.788959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fb…e007backed Yes18c667.96$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes5c638.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.911711.8%2 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes24c634.68$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.323935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes23c633.41$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes23c622.04$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.073020%6 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes24c592.52$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.212040%8 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No77c591.72$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.13770.3%26 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No77c591.72$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.14067.5%27 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No78c574.37$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.366076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes17c558.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0270%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f13…6a96backed No77c543.4$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d6…e1fcbacked Yes24c516.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.07933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a9…99b6backed Yes17c503.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No77c493.1$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.413969.2%27 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No78c487.07$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.162152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Yes15c468.77$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Yes23c446.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.673847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes5c443.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.721323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked No80c438.14$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.58683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.381513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.382821.4%6 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.19per pick40cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.382814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Yes23c414.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.383336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No77c414.2$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.274257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No77c414.2$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.274156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce01…7acabacked Yes24c410.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.49425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No77c400.03$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9243252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.441421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.443520%7 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.