TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc30f…b556

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricketlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$133
The Hundred: Southern Brave vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked Manchester Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$39.43
The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leedsbacked Sunrisers Leeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.27
The Hundred: London Spirit vs Southern Bravebacked Southern Brave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.97
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Firebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$198.4
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.25
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$428.66
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$21.71
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$674.9
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will New Zealand win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.55
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$919.94
T20 Blast: Durham vs Northamptonshirebacked Durham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,482Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$840.37
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$883.45
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$938.34
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,458
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$2,275.24
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,516Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+34%+$1,534.91
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$112.61
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,717.23
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+287.9%+$6,711.47
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$628.67
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,330.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,628Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,628.19
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$213.33
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$233.72
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$85.56
France vs. Sweden: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$149.35
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.74
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$51.43
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$205.51
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$87.96
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.61
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.05
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$56.78
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.29
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$790
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$353
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.49
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+176.5%+$1,018.48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,415Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$1,354.42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.48
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$236
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$687.13
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+90.6%+$108.72
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+39.7%+$99.36
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 19 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$304.5
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.4
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$28.75
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$264.83
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+203.2%+$142.24
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+255.6%+$1,635.64
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will David Lipsky win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Valspar Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$199.33
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 18 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$40.61
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$319
Will Kimi Antonelli win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$181.27
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$77.56
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+190.9%+$161.74
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$381.59
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$154.29
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+115%+$46
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$777Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$776.9
Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$32.44
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$66.09
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Will Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$8.91
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Naples: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$95.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.