Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ebb07134794576c154f06fbaa1cc61a5292d58e280ce98207977771c0326c27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,451,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,849,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,451,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 5,726 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 61c | 1,314,917$798,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516,761.87 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 62c | 1,241,855$764,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477,542.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 39c | 947,696$366,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366,280.8 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 38c | 542,273$208,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208,319.13 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 39c | 529,991$206,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,696.57 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…a109backed No | 40c | 490,000$196,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,000 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +7.9wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Yes | 60c | 436,586$261,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,634.47 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 60c | 399,167$239,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159,666.67 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed No | 41c | 356,000$144,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,960 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked No | 38c | 345,365$130,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,283.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…5ae8backed No | 38c | 231,587$88,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,002.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc11…eec6backed Yes | 60c | 228,079$137,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,141.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…c428backed No | 40c | 221,585$88,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,633.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes | 62c | 205,100$127,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,938 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 63c | 185,555$117,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,344.35 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 61c | 178,487$109,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,720.05 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 162,830$104,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,692.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 62c | 150,000$93,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,000 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Yes | 60c | 125,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…fec8backed No | 40c | 119,000$47,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,600 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 39c | 117,897$45,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,982.02 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Yes | 60c | 110,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,999.97 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 61c | 102,300$62,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,896.38 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.99 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 39c | 100,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.82 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 39c | 99,998$39,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,199.37 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 63c | 99,260$62,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,034.43 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 38c | 93,664$35,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,592.25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 93,448$15,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,161.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 61c | 88,997$54,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,707.41 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 40c | 85,851$34,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,340.48 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 37c | 80,984$29,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,888.2 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Yes | 61c | 80,000$48,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,200 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 38c | 80,000$30,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,399.94 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 40c | 78,380$31,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,326.16 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…466cbacked Yes | 60c | 77,269$46,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,907.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked No | 5c | 72,700$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.5 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Yes | 60c | 66,667$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,666.67 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed No | 6c | 64,307$4,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.18 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 39c | 63,482$24,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,757.93 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 61c | 62,253$38,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,078.02 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 39c | 55,998$21,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,839.21 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 38c | 51,600$19,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,607.98 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 39c | 50,400$19,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,656 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 63c | 49,400$31,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,184.17 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Yes | 60c | 47,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 45,823$32,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,447.66 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Yes | 60c | 45,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 61c | 44,432$27,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,254.75 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 1c | 44,000$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 62c | 42,719$26,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,259.13 | 281 | 62.6%176 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 39c | 42,079$16,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,306.65 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes | 62c | 40,587$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,586.99 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed No | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 39c | 38,660$15,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,077.47 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 38,329$14,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,486.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 38c | 37,490$14,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,246.2 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 39c | 37,282$14,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,622.48 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 34,952$13,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,574.95 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 60c | 33,330$19,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,332 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 20c | 32,860$6,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,418.96 | 293 | 33.8%99 W · 194 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed No | 41c | 32,000$13,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,120 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…dcc2backed Yes | 63c | 31,746$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,746.03 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…816dbacked No | 2c | 31,479$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Yes | 69c | 30,281$20,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,313.07 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 61c | 30,212$18,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,782.62 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620c…4baebacked Yes | 61c | 30,000$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,700 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.88 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 39c | 29,999$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.61 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed No | 40c | 29,992$11,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,996.79 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Yes | 60c | 29,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.95 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 39c | 27,435$10,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,699.61 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…f032backed Yes | 59c | 26,015$15,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.12 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 17c | 25,336$4,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240.86 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 12c | 23,376$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.16 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 61c | 22,951$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.82 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 39c | 22,947$8,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,949.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 22,907$8,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,925.95 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 39c | 22,222$8,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,666.58 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Yes | 62c | 22,053$13,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,380.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked No | 40c | 21,111$8,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,444.4 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…53c8backed Yes | 61c | 20,791$12,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,108.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 39c | 20,160$7,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,862.35 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed No | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,999.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c5…ebc7backed Yes | 61c | 20,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,899.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.91 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed No | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.89 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 39c | 19,999$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.75 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 62c | 19,999$12,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.48 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed No | 4c | 18,640$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.78 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 40c | 18,607$7,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.63 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 59c | 18,533$10,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,593.1 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 4c | 18,446$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.96 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…8717backed Yes | 60c | 18,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked No | 41c | 17,033$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,983.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 61c | 17,000$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,640 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed No | 37c | 16,692$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.97 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?this page
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?No won
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.