TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3eec…6b3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11553%61 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+431.9%+$2,159.57
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29%+$15.68
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$27.37
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.96
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.77
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,238.89
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,055.56
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38%+$1,209.38
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,591.32
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,320.34
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.93
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$738.81
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.57
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,124.37
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$126.32
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.7
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$13.57
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$168.99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$47.34
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+31%+$55.89
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$29.55
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$36.72
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.43
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,842
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46%+$144.83
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.41
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.22
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$14.24
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.58
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open, Qualification: Thomas Faurel vs Miguel Damasbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$7.25
Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Carol Young Suh Leebacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Kitzbuehel: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Ekaterina Perelyginabacked Ekaterina Perelygina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Swiss Open: Clement Tabur vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$16.23
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Martin Landalucebacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$137.17
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.64
Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Targu Mures: Miguel Damas vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Varvara Lepchenko vs Anastasia Gasanovabacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sara Bejlek vs Laura Siegemundbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$90.78
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Justina Mikulskyte vs Carol Zhaobacked Justina Mikulskyte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$89.86
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Marc Polmansbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$6.82
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$85.53
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarrobacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Nottingham Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$54.29
Dublin: Henry Searle vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Parma: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Parma: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Federico Bondiolibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lionsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bearsbacked Doosan Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. LG Twinsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$140.55
KBO: SSG Landers vs. KT Wizbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$134.37
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinosbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bearsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$69.7
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$63.58
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigersbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$108.66
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$201.93
All 15 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$1,418.62
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548.6
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.