TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dublin: Henry Searle vs Alexis Galarneau

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Henry Searleof Henry Searle, Alexis Galarneau
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,738
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,738 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Alexis Galarneau38c28,878$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Henry Searle62c23,958$14,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,111.368,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Henry Searle69c3,836$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.944,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Henry Searle63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1109,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Henry Searle62c2,960$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.353,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Henry Searle59c2,618$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.734,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Alexis Galarneau37c2,513$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92570041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Henry Searle73c2,027$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.283,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Alexis Galarneau15c1,635$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7237421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alexis Galarneau37c1,449$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.262,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexis Galarneau37c1,434$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.236,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Alexis Galarneau42c1,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alexis Galarneau24c1,050$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.941,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Alexis Galarneau43c893.59$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.1233438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexis Galarneau36c793.05$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.438,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Alexis Galarneau36c716.97$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1167239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alexis Galarneau40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2407,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Henry Searle80c573.45$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.325,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35d…102abacked Alexis Galarneau30c520.82$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.837445.9%34 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Henry Searle63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1854,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Henry Searle57c438.57$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.592,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Alexis Galarneau26c369.48$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7518932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Henry Searle76c353.22$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2286470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Alexis Galarneau44c325.46$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.252557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Henry Searle58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1258456%47 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Alexis Galarneau32c278$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.751,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Henry Searle57c262.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.341,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Henry Searle74c250.05$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9343750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Henry Searle78c249.98$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.121,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Alexis Galarneau36c237.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.52,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Henry Searle63c232.2$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4785742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Alexis Galarneau40c229.03$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6511336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Alexis Galarneau14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2869438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Henry Searle69c198.96$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.716,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Alexis Galarneau30c197.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.582,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Henry Searle58c194.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.853,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Henry Searle68c193.18$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.345,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Alexis Galarneau46c174.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.313,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexis Galarneau44c173.74$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.844,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Henry Searle61c155.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7470456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Alexis Galarneau25c153.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.931,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Henry Searle72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4292046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Henry Searle58c146.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5540554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Alexis Galarneau35c140.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.321,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Alexis Galarneau12c136.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7226640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eec…6b3dbacked Henry Searle77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6c…89d4backed Henry Searle60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Alexis Galarneau42c115.85$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.992,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Alexis Galarneau43c115.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alexis Galarneau29c114.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.752,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Alexis Galarneau42c108$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2333558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Alexis Galarneau47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010232.4%33 W · 69 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Alexis Galarneau20c104.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.730931.1%96 W · 213 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Alexis Galarneau35c100.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.683852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Henry Searle61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Henry Searle53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4717646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb5…ea33backed Henry Searle80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201866.7%12 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick80cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Alexis Galarneau34c97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9346155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alexis Galarneau43c95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.851,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Henry Searle80c94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.82,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Alexis Galarneau14c92.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8830040%120 W · 180 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Henry Searle53c90.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.385348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Alexis Galarneau42c88.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3796945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Henry Searle57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7267852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Alexis Galarneau47c80.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Henry Searle72c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.281,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Alexis Galarneau44c72.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3226734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d92…9748backed Henry Searle60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Henry Searle71c64.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Alexis Galarneau43c64.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.532,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Alexis Galarneau47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Alexis Galarneau49c62.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.482,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dcd…232cbacked Alexis Galarneau20c60.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.111414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…61a0backed Alexis Galarneau43c60.47$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2652155.3%288 W · 233 L+27.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Henry Searle56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.183447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alexis Galarneau33c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexis Galarneau18c59.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.734,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Henry Searle59c57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3752355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Henry Searle72c56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6859954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Alexis Galarneau29c55.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1648552.4%254 W · 231 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Alexis Galarneau43c54.07$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2517046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Henry Searle57c53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.798555.3%47 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Henry Searle72c52.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8544758.8%263 W · 184 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alexis Galarneau35c51.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.084,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Alexis Galarneau50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Henry Searle70c49.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.784,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Alexis Galarneau48c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Alexis Galarneau44c45.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.242,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alexis Galarneau40c45.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…a47fbacked Alexis Galarneau44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206767.2%45 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Alexis Galarneau27c45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.091,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Henry Searle56c44.24$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Henry Searle57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8622235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Alexis Galarneau49c41.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.331,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Henry Searle57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2854746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Henry Searle74c39.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.181,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Alexis Galarneau27c38.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Alexis Galarneau47c38.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Alexis Galarneau40c38.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.245,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5e…f0c5backed Henry Searle78c37.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3523272.8%169 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.