TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1cb0…c615

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8456%47 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Norbert Gombosbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.77
Roehampton: Emile Hudd vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.27
Prague 2: Marek Gengel vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.27
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Brownsburg: Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fominbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.99
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Zug: Zsombor Piros vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Tampere: Andrej Nedic vs Tom Gentzschbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.2
Zug: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Anton Matusevichbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.81
Segovia: Akira Santillan vs Mert Alkayabacked Mert Alkaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$105.01
Generali Open: Quentin Halys vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Segovia: Yi Zhou vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Yi Zhou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bloomfield Hills: Colton Smith vs J.J. Wolfbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.5
Tampere: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Otto Virtanenbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Winnipeg: Nicolas Arseneault vs Keegan Ricebacked Nicolas Arseneault · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampere: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Eero Vasabacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.88
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$58.81
Generali Open: Lukas Neumayer vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Granby: Murphy Cassone vs Arthur Geabacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Clement Taburbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Mariano Navonebacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$405
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.99
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$228.75
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$410
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$450
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$162.5
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$22.85
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.89
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+139.7%+$69.86
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$87
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.5
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$69.06
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$28.5
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$113.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.6
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Swansea City AFC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.19
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+37%+$17.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$38.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.2
Will Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.85
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Valencia CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+55.3%+$26.7
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.78
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.92
All 20 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$4.1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$74.79
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$17.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$43.6
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17.94
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.71
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.82
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$25.5
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$74.4
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.1
Will Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Will NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.2
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$21.86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$29.17
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will Juventus FC vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.34
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.6
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Como 1907 vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+54.4%+$7.05
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.29
Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$24.5
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.