TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,405

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No64c10,294$6,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.971,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes35c9,274$3,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,984.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c8,575$6,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,114.522,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes21c2,334$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,840.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes5c1,742$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.6531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes39c1,629$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.2474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c1,253$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.7622656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes44c1,148$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.4510945%49 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes25c1,115$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.915127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Yes29c999.99$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.998549.4%42 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c986$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.9893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes29c758.62$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.623125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes40c750.96$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.481,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c747.49$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.7276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No56c641.04$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8322226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes21c619.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.531,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes31c539.16$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.0217255.2%95 W · 77 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c528.77$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.763,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c523.35$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.641,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes28c514.29$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.2910525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41038734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes26c499.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No68c495.11$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6723345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No74c462.81$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes22c381.7$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5951250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes40c362.5$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.551429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbf…c53cbacked Yes31c359.23$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.63119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick31cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No72c329.88$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.815540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes21c316.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.946126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No71c303.31$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3523255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes40c297.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.4128326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No68c285.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.066435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes24c266.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8517513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2d5a…9f79backed Yes28c245.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c237$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.013,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No56c231$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9820250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes46c188.04$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.546826.5%18 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e79…2d68backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5710541.9%44 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+41%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Yes7c171.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.614526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No79c169$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.041,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes29c166.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.46839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked No80c150$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5527554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes12c146$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.485616.1%9 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c143$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.241,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c138.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3327745.1%125 W · 152 L-19.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes45c137.78$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.784727.7%13 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked No18c127$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.861127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick17cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c125$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed No32c124.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.228817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No72c119.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5784844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes28c110.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4322026.4%58 W · 162 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed Yes37c104.66$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.748445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.457041.4%29 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes19c97.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3448438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Yes42c94.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.713852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes23c94.68$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes27c91.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6255045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes18c90.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No61c87$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0744435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked No73c85$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.058256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f0…7bdbbacked Yes42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Yes40c82.5$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.530831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes64c81.47$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4238960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes24c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.51,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c79.31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3122836.4%83 W · 145 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes34c74.28$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6714647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes35c71.42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.427652.6%40 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes29c69.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.567464.9%48 W · 26 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c66.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.528,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No72c56.64$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7812957.4%74 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes19c56.25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2923633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes24c55.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.134554.2%187 W · 158 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No71c55.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.072,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No70c54.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.724124.4%10 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No61c51.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.356835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb528…9f54backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaf…b9eabacked Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes28c49$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3e…dadebacked Yes56c47.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes42c45.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5918764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd912…abbdbacked Yes47c44.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yes46c42.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.114458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5885…87d2backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.372259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Yes27c41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9326631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes44c40.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9133345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1361…501ebacked Yes28c40.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7790…f271backed No73c40$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd87a…4e56backed Yes38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.472661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c38.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.691,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c38.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c1…4bccbacked Yes29c37.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No54c37.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3951429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.923,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb28…ecf5backed Yes28c35.93$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Yes55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7326246.9%123 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.