TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$244,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes0c16,230$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.236929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c12,255$7,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,370.674,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes12c11,023$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.52,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaa…2814backed Yes50c9,576$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,828.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+68.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No57c7,961$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c7,075$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes50c6,666$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed No59c6,383$3,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.6236437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc066…672dbacked No54c5,489$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbc…52dabacked No54c5,487$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes39c5,275$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.746835.3%24 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58d2…0357backed Yes46c4,940$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b47…2f60backed Yes46c4,920$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bdb…8eb1backed Yes46c4,918$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7382…dafcbacked Yes46c4,904$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c4,639$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,327.176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3635…e4cfbacked No54c4,392$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3c…8e95backed No54c4,373$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07a6…2e31backed No74c4,241$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.471060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes49c3,923$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.863030%9 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes41c3,579$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.522,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No51c3,351$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.1342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6641…fccdbacked Yes41c2,599$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0702665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes45c2,465$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.924858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c2,252$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.971,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9429232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No58c2,140$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No60c1,698$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3114544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c1,645$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.63,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes48c1,634$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.328162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No51c1,615$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.433,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No61c1,606$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.355863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes50c1,546$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.681533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No61c1,543$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.1611167.6%75 W · 36 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702552%13 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.25per pick27cpaid+63.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes10c1,369$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.212,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No51c1,296$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.8314551%74 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ce…d50abacked Yes45c1,277$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No51c1,218$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.8114344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No62c1,212$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.5141968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x38f8…cc9fbacked Yes46c1,082$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes47c1,070$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No54c1,064$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4220731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No53c1,058$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.122646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No60c1,010$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.5939933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes43c995.22$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.2126647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No52c970.67$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No50c909$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.54753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes42c891.03$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.581,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes3c862.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes33c779.12$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.972,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.233935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes48c767.53$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.676551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes39c743.59$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29035036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes43c689.64$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.2622226.6%59 W · 163 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c677.67$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.3393542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes49c662.74$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4535549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No54c656.32$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9116244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No61c618.6$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2542048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No53c598.86$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.3618764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No61c596.72$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7216342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No60c595$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3216150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Yes46c590$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Yes46c546.03$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.185549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No54c542$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1363035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c535.18$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.755045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes45c499.98$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No51c490.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes40c466.92$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes47c446.81$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011135.1%39 W · 72 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3694…950fbacked Yes22c445.64$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcba…04ddbacked Yes46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes33c429.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0717513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No49c422.35$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.443635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No52c419.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.781,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes49c419.94$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7713746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked No55c418.18$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1810762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes49c412.35$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.055843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No55c388.95$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes49c375.81$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes38c339.91$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.171,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1060…d28bbacked Yes6c338.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c334.82$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1245039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes28c329.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.961,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe40d…d654backed Yes48c313.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No54c306.95$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.21,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes43c304$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13265835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92e3…eb51backed Yes45c302.18$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1112450%62 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1356845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes40c279.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.191,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No54c277$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4228545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes39c256.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked No55c253.91$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.262839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No54c235.25$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1745947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes23c234.44$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6720250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.