TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07a6…2e31

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Music, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 54 out of 100; worst Space at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$41.81
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$129.29
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$135,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135,661.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$173,648Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.9%+$44,959.38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$22,177.27
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$194,870Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+47%+$91,583.56
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+29.4%+$358.09
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$622.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,724Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,724
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.5%+$165.3
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+27.1%+$114.74
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Price of eggs goes up in Trump's first month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$139.52
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST+426.3%+$60.04
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+70.2%+$509.08
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+42.1%+$2,762.79
Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST-100%-$69.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,880.07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,796
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$8,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+649.2%+$53,975.78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,975.58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,488.98
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$5,550Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$31,450
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,731Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$4,371.92
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+58.7%+$333
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+32.2%+$2,676.63
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,732.21
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30%+$336.23
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$360
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,273.62
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$1,469.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$295.19
Will Fiji win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$1,095.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Kanye West release an album before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+118.9%+$303.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$42
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+84.6%+$1,010.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$9,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,218.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$141.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2026 NBA All-Star: Player to hit half-court shot?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$496.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,429.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,943.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$68.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$2,270.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.