Us Politics · resolved market
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e4a56d8073645a86354e47f82a70f8ccc1881cbdcb54e0a32fbebb954f2ce9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,352,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,155,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,352,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ebb…b114backed Yes | 5c | 119,018$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 60c | 55,308$32,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,320.66 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,322$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 37c | 40,991$15,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,234.02 | 94 | 26.6%25 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…37debacked Yes | 41c | 40,134$16,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,638.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…30f5backed Yes | 39c | 35,340$13,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,924.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…d7c6backed Yes | 49c | 32,876$16,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,109.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…9f2ebacked Yes | 39c | 27,535$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,868.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed No | 58c | 27,247$15,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,373.11 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 40c | 27,042$10,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,844.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 56c | 26,472$14,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,563.07 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 27c | 20,596$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.81 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,297$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 17,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +230%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 42c | 17,115$7,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,181.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 57c | 16,755$9,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,285.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 63c | 15,677$9,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,860.72 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed No | 62c | 14,774$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,634.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 14,485$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 58c | 11,649$6,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,941.36 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 58c | 10,887$6,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.44 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33f…5b71backed Yes | 47c | 10,645$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 8,090$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 124 | 4.8%6 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…1bc1backed Yes | 34c | 7,003$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 9c | 6,847$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.2 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…5727backed No | 62c | 6,320$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.17 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Yes | 34c | 6,129$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…d442backed No | 65c | 6,073$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…9767backed Yes | 33c | 6,006$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…c56bbacked No | 66c | 5,950$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 37c | 5,676$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.75 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…eda1backed Yes | 40c | 5,504$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed No | 60c | 5,158$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…8f03backed Yes | 27c | 5,131$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 42c | 4,541$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…b066backed Yes | 36c | 4,504$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…0b5abacked No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…503cbacked No | 58c | 3,986$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…eb69backed Yes | 2c | 3,960$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 41c | 3,944$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.93 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ade…7624backed Yes | 37c | 3,894$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…a736backed Yes | 45c | 3,665$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed No | 62c | 3,601$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 42c | 3,556$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.31 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639a…312cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,541$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96a…18d4backed Yes | 37c | 3,398$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69d…1262backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…741bbacked Yes | 67c | 2,970$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 2,773$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 41c | 2,725$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 39c | 2,698$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.82 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 63c | 2,620$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.6 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb466…16e8backed Yes | 39c | 2,577$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…f6fbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…b7fcbacked Yes | 38c | 2,481$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed Yes | 4c | 2,373$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +8.3wins | +0.32per pick | 14cpaid | +308.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…e5bebacked Yes | 48c | 2,308$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 2,261$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.87 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…051bbacked No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…6544backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 59c | 1,996$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 44c | 1,988$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.07 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…a29fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,987$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…cc37backed Yes | 8c | 1,851$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaa…f756backed No | 62c | 1,834$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 60c | 1,800$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.97 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe064…cd51backed Yes | 1c | 1,758$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…bca3backed Yes | 41c | 1,707$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,652$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.98 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 32c | 1,571$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…5c92backed Yes | 44c | 1,511$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed No | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed No | 63c | 1,475$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…0deebacked No | 53c | 1,385$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,362$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed No | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…619abacked Yes | 39c | 1,285$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 32c | 1,278$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.92 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Yes | 10c | 1,261$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b569backed Yes | 2c | 1,235$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…2e31backed No | 59c | 1,234$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…7ce1backed No | 64c | 1,179$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…5657backed Yes | 44c | 1,176$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…cd9cbacked No | 55c | 1,150$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…a223backed Yes | 2c | 1,110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3928…fc16backed Yes | 32c | 1,106$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed No | 53c | 1,089$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed No | 58c | 1,079$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed No | 56c | 1,075$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.26 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,059$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…fa38backed No | 55c | 1,050$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5152…79a0backed Yes | 47c | 1,028$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.17 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…b37fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?this page
- Will Andrew Bailey be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Ken Paxton be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Matthew Whitaker be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Mike Davis be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Mike Lee be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?Yes won
- Will Robert Giuffra be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Todd Blanche be Trump's Attorney General?No won
- Will Will Levi be Trump's Attorney General?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.