TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Todd Blanche be Trump's Attorney General?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$758,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$571,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c24,317$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+230%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c15,266$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.532847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes0c11,883$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.884814.6%7 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-60.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes3c11,506$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.5996319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c11,273$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.892400%0 W · 240 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57c5…07aabacked No76c9,201$7,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.714057.5%23 W · 17 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed No67c6,358$4,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.39966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa454…9767backed Yes39c5,499$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.21425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed No66c3,395$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.87041.4%29 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x461a…4030backed No74c2,790$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.355433.3%18 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes31c2,704$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.8641238.8%160 W · 252 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes8c2,401$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.781244.8%6 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-85.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked No73c2,000$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54213537.8%51 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…9b59backed Yes11c1,900$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.243212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes15c1,737$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.512835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No70c1,700$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.266432.8%21 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8817…b60fbacked Yes29c1,600$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…2f22backed Yes15c1,560$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.744247.6%20 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+68.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5fa…5c92backed Yes33c1,534$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes49c1,500$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.8910324.3%25 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes21c1,368$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8117225%43 W · 129 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes30c1,350$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes5c1,030$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.421634.3%74 W · 142 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…f7c0backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.843517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes25c961.13$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1799629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8cb…e434backed Yes26c863.39$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ee…ec14backed No72c730.9$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.143540%14 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb8…9231backed Yes38c574.63$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.787639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73af…4fc0backed Yes35c571.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Yes44c562.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecf4…9979backed Yes4c533.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bae…5d34backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154839.6%19 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d5b…334abacked Yes35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.52437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick22cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x120c…8b37backed No69c448.41$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes28c360$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.363318.2%6 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69a4…bba9backed Yes30c358.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.765655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No73c342$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.662846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed No70c315.41$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7532029.1%93 W · 227 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9488…6802backed Yes40c300$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2f…baccbacked No72c233.14$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.215721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-69%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac72…abfbbacked Yes26c226.63$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…81c3backed No74c225.68$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a5…ab5ebacked Yes43c218.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23a1…9fe2backed No69c198.41$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8724…5717backed Yes31c198.39$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e4…b676backed Yes18c169.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.19746.4%45 W · 52 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+63.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd689…dc54backed Yes38c152.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xece9…c691backed Yes26c150.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…9013backed No74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed No53c135.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2411848.3%57 W · 61 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+41.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No76c126.66$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.062147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd67d…a5a8backed Yes39c112.76$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed No70c102.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1430319.1%58 W · 245 L-20.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.613556.3%76 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3e1…12d4backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x601b…ed94backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f9…3f52backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-68.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x934a…02a3backed Yes16c88.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87e9…67c6backed Yes39c87.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No54c78.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3736527.1%99 W · 266 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc72…6fc1backed Yes39c76.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked No71c68.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011336.3%41 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes39c63.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259831.6%31 W · 67 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…15cdbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa986…1273backed No66c47.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a89…5375backed Yes27c43.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x017b…991fbacked Yes49c41.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked No74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.548757.5%50 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2a…cad6backed Yes27c40.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb26e…4a36backed Yes30c33.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-53%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dcb…b930backed No68c29.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked No70c29.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fe…6a5ebacked No74c23.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…4976backed No73c22.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16a…3c93backed No71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.783740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92b1…6925backed No73c19.71$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…0d79backed No73c19.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.235100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda8c…2efcbacked No70c17.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0746…bf5abacked No73c16.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.