TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87e9…67c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT7243.1%31 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Travis Hunter and GF break up before Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.29
Will Travis Hunter be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.13
Will Shedeur Sanders be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$164.7
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$80.42
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.31
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+322.5%+$347.3
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$95.29
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$556.51
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$499.39
Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$119.25
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$97.89
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$70.64
Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$58.82
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23.56
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$95.56
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$175.38
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$42.78
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+104.5%+$89.3
Broncos vs. Billsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$65.5
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2025, EDT4725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.63
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.63
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.78
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$44.66
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+177.2%+$39.36
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.29
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.5
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+1,328.6%+$279
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20.39
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.34
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+733.3%+$88.22
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23.62
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46.3
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+222.6%+$34.26
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+300%+$117.21
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$33.61
Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+124%+$130.53
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$171.27
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+127.3%+$19.66
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$45.68
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$129.5
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$245.63
Penn State vs. Boise Statebacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$82.5
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+614.3%+$153.57
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$194.03
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$10
UConn vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20.11
Syracuse vs. Washington Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$34.61
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$25.42
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$25
California vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+48.5%+$16.96
Will Ashton Jeanty win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$10.46
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+661%+$508.36
Clemson vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$15.31
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Marshall vs. Louisianabacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+132.6%+$14.25
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+75.9%+$21.96
Oklahoma vs. LSUbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$16
Kansas vs. Baylorbacked Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.89
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2025, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.59
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.25
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.74
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Senators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+119.9%+$27.26
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+61.3%+$19.01
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+102.3%+$25.32
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+75.4%+$11.35
Blues vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+81.8%+$9
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+56.8%+$12.28
Canucks vs. Utahbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$36.12
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+167.3%+$18.23
Panthers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+100%+$12.5
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+63.9%+$9.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Makhachev vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.49
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$34.24
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Araujo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+248.3%+$44.25
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$66.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek banned in US before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$107.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$16.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.