College Football · resolved market
Ohio State vs. Oregon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3ba8f6118dc6405002d1ff3153e1649e18fe1a8e27ba1ba755c0c9c1000d30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohio Stateof Ohio State, Oregon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $908,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $834,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Oregon | 3c | 90,145$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.3 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ohio State | 56c | 57,934$32,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,570.11 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Oregon | 2c | 50,490$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.53 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Oregon | 0c | 49,976$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Oregon | 38c | 48,852$18,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,647.17 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Oregon | 29c | 46,854$13,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,789.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Ohio State | 57c | 41,360$23,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,749.44 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Ohio State | 57c | 40,221$22,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,295.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Oregon | 10c | 28,871$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Oregon | 44c | 21,381$9,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,407.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Ohio State | 56c | 19,764$11,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,696 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Oregon | 6c | 16,136$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Oregon | 6c | 15,320$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Oregon | 4c | 15,270$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.42 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Oregon | 44c | 14,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Oregon | 16c | 13,930$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.44 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…2c48backed Oregon | 0c | 13,065$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Oregon | 3c | 11,989$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…9360backed Oregon | 45c | 10,251$4,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…5040backed Oregon | 45c | 10,065$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d28cbacked Oregon | 45c | 10,047$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…c077backed Ohio State | 55c | 10,044$5,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Ohio State | 55c | 10,036$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked Oregon | 1c | 9,729$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ohio State | 67c | 8,131$5,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.23 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oregon | 0c | 7,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oregon | 43c | 6,706$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.35 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ohio State | 56c | 6,409$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.96 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Oregon | 45c | 6,018$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…d0b2backed Oregon | 1c | 5,420$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Ohio State | 57c | 5,254$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Ohio State | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Oregon | 18c | 4,789$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…42f9backed Oregon | 5c | 4,784$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Oregon | 11c | 4,650$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.48 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…df9ebacked Oregon | 7c | 4,588$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…5e2ebacked Oregon | 3c | 4,539$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Oregon | 20c | 4,529$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Oregon | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Oregon | 2c | 4,200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Oregon | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Oregon | 2c | 3,698$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Oregon | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…e531backed Oregon | 3c | 3,468$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.14 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…1bc7backed Oregon | 2c | 3,319$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Ohio State | 77c | 3,243$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.19 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Ohio State | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Ohio State | 79c | 2,794$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…f741backed Oregon | 1c | 2,790$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Oregon | 4c | 2,700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked Oregon | 0c | 2,658$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Ohio State | 55c | 2,558$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Ohio State | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0939…9a00backed Oregon | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oregon | 7c | 2,228$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Oregon | 35c | 2,053$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.07 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e69…274abacked Oregon | 2c | 2,045$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac73…b51fbacked Oregon | 5c | 2,028$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Oregon | 18c | 2,028$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Oregon | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Ohio State | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.97 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Ohio State | 56c | 1,998$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.21 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Oregon | 41c | 1,998$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.86 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Oregon | 2c | 1,900$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff5…793ebacked Oregon | 2c | 1,856$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Oregon | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…1810backed Oregon | 6c | 1,827$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Oregon | 2c | 1,674$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oregon | 43c | 1,600$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.59 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Oregon | 18c | 1,592$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Oregon | 3c | 1,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…1028backed Oregon | 45c | 1,437$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Oregon | 29c | 1,359$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.65 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Ohio State | 56c | 1,340$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Oregon | 44c | 1,305$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.34 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Oregon | 2c | 1,213$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Oregon | 30c | 1,166$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Oregon | 22c | 1,114$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe639…9122backed Oregon | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Oregon | 2c | 1,111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8053…2a8ebacked Oregon | 45c | 1,096$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…c53cbacked Oregon | 2c | 1,071$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…47afbacked Oregon | 46c | 1,036$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Oregon | 44c | 1,026$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc46…55a9backed Oregon | 2c | 1,013$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Oregon | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc3…e721backed Oregon | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…cd68backed Oregon | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Oregon | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0f…7305backed Oregon | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Oregon | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Ohio State | 71c | 990.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Ohio State | 55c | 985.25$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…0dc6backed Oregon | 45c | 985.25$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Oregon | 44c | 917.29$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…7da8backed Ohio State | 56c | 889.29$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…5fd9backed Oregon | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…9769backed Ohio State | 55c | 877.72$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Ohio State | 74c | 866.94$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ohio State | 77c | 863.76$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.