TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbea6…aed7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST9346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$494.56
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$136.84
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$134.85
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Giants vs. Bearsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$48.55
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+69.5%+$173.73
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$43.75
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+42.9%+$85.71
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$564.33
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.41
Packers vs. Eaglesbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+100%+$250
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UCLAbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Auburn vs. Vanderbiltbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Oregon vs. Iowabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Georgia vs. Mississippi Statebacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+29.9%+$69
Northwestern vs. USCbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$53
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$67
Duke vs. Ole Missbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$312
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+45.3%+$81.55
Louisville vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$59
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+190.4%+$285.57
Penn State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+61.3%+$144.03
Michigan vs. Ohio Statebacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+900%+$450
Will Oregon beat Michigan?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
Will Michigan beat Illinois?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will BYU beat Oklahoma State by 10 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Washington beat Michigan?backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+117.7%+$53.89
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+185.7%+$66.86
Jazz vs. Celticsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Heatbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+92.3%+$24.92
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$57
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$73.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$144.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.