World Politics · resolved market
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa5041ca3ea8400325d726e0fb44b85180c4d6211dea960d7a3fb4600d5d6c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,918,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,302,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,918,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 73c | 125,821$92,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,628.46 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 3c | 88,163$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.67 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…8f51backed Yes | 70c | 73,272$51,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,981.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…bab3backed No | 7c | 71,633$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…5f7fbacked Yes | 67c | 62,268$41,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,768.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 72c | 61,692$44,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,252.45 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 70c | 59,966$41,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,091.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb2…f3c2backed Yes | 70c | 49,440$34,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,861.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 67c | 46,938$31,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,489.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 46,416$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.03 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…48e4backed Yes | 69c | 45,061$31,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,899.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 30c | 44,709$13,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,622.56 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 5c | 42,181$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.22 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 64c | 41,955$26,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,045.57 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Yes | 70c | 41,710$29,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,705.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 31c | 41,014$12,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,742.23 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 70c | 35,625$24,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,738.45 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 3c | 33,887$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.5 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…d966backed Yes | 70c | 33,830$23,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,198.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 67c | 32,912$22,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.03 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Yes | 75c | 29,399$22,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…7cd4backed No | 2c | 26,695$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fd…475ebacked No | 2c | 26,624$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…dfd5backed No | 2c | 21,066$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 76c | 19,519$14,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,684.75 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 19,194$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.08 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…bc5dbacked Yes | 73c | 18,133$13,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed No | 2c | 17,631$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.41 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 79c | 17,520$13,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.9 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 21c | 17,376$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 31c | 17,000$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.11 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Yes | 69c | 16,374$11,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Yes | 69c | 15,712$10,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 64c | 15,711$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…9c40backed Yes | 73c | 15,418$11,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…2a9dbacked Yes | 46c | 14,768$6,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 57c | 14,657$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.28 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 31c | 14,025$4,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,345.92 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 69c | 13,123$9,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,051.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc38…f41ebacked No | 1c | 12,960$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 25c | 12,915$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.35 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 79c | 12,708$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.4 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked No | 10c | 12,595$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.38 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…6414backed Yes | 69c | 12,468$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fef…0cc5backed No | 6c | 12,201$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…9b58backed Yes | 61c | 12,021$7,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 4c | 12,000$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a02…4726backed No | 2c | 11,506$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…3066backed Yes | 66c | 11,355$7,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,860.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 10,984$7,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…62b9backed No | 4c | 10,800$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…2f1dbacked No | 2c | 10,448$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed No | 3c | 10,382$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked No | 5c | 10,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Yes | 66c | 9,278$6,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 30c | 9,119$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.75 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 34c | 9,019$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.36 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…0c2abacked No | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…7731backed No | 1c | 8,900$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…bf0abacked No | 34c | 8,900$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed Yes | 69c | 8,780$6,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…0b92backed No | 6c | 8,344$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 1c | 8,262$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.69 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…0acfbacked No | 1c | 8,245$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…163dbacked No | 2c | 8,026$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Yes | 53c | 7,998$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,731.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 22c | 7,908$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…8101backed Yes | 35c | 7,768$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,073.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 65c | 7,700$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 69c | 7,699$5,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 50c | 7,652$3,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.99 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…03b2backed Yes | 71c | 7,335$5,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…00debacked Yes | 70c | 7,304$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 73c | 7,258$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.36 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…f819backed Yes | 59c | 7,175$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked No | 2c | 7,059$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…657abacked No | 31c | 6,932$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 68c | 6,846$4,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 30c | 6,818$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.17 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8c…9effbacked Yes | 74c | 6,803$5,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…d567backed No | 36c | 6,775$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked No | 2c | 6,418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eff…e593backed Yes | 77c | 6,390$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…8a76backed No | 30c | 6,300$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.95 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 31c | 6,221$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…0a87backed No | 2c | 6,040$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 32c | 5,958$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 5c | 5,780$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.23 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…fdfabacked Yes | 69c | 5,763$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…f779backed No | 35c | 5,750$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…439dbacked Yes | 68c | 5,684$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 32c | 5,387$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…d4b2backed No | 37c | 5,386$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 64c | 5,311$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.94 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…2a5fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,308$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 5,266$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…af17backed No | 3c | 5,234$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…beaabacked Yes | 62c | 5,208$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed No | 30c | 5,081$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.53 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.