World Politics · resolved market
Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x568d73d79cf08c672892850e0dc5e172d589b01108e46c7033c7e9429737d330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,989,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,989,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95ef…e187backed Yes | 0c | 72,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a2…f293backed Yes | 0c | 71,400$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…e0b6backed Yes | 0c | 70,066$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…c611backed Yes | 0c | 69,995$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…9140backed Yes | 0c | 69,056$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…d017backed Yes | 0c | 68,315$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…896cbacked Yes | 0c | 68,175$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…8fabbacked Yes | 0c | 67,955$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b8f2backed Yes | 0c | 67,561$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…5c96backed Yes | 0c | 67,276$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4069…eabbbacked Yes | 0c | 66,815$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeeb…98e6backed Yes | 0c | 66,315$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d8…723fbacked Yes | 0c | 66,228$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b9…633bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,092$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…1922backed Yes | 0c | 65,690$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…31d8backed Yes | 0c | 65,003$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…6ca1backed Yes | 0c | 64,798$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bf…f157backed Yes | 0c | 64,655$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…b59dbacked Yes | 0c | 64,643$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…ba14backed Yes | 0c | 64,588$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…bcecbacked Yes | 0c | 64,110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e5…7ad2backed Yes | 0c | 64,011$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…e960backed Yes | 0c | 63,916$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…47d8backed Yes | 0c | 63,698$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…f1a6backed Yes | 0c | 63,583$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 62,441$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b77…5a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 61,818$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…1b27backed Yes | 0c | 61,392$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…00ffbacked Yes | 0c | 61,197$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…5dbcbacked Yes | 0c | 61,090$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…2f04backed Yes | 0c | 60,694$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…ce54backed Yes | 0c | 36,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…2b14backed Yes | 0c | 36,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e1…cce4backed Yes | 0c | 34,713$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd8…cdb7backed Yes | 0c | 34,237$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…bd33backed Yes | 0c | 33,954$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d4…c2b8backed Yes | 0c | 32,172$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef09…0a0bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,927$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…5183backed Yes | 0c | 31,324$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…54d3backed Yes | 0c | 30,646$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c6…1fadbacked Yes | 0c | 30,028$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Yes | 0c | 25,365$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 16,195$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 14,540$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…f1e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c0…81d6backed Yes | 0c | 12,173$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 12,139$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…4107backed Yes | 0c | 11,414$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…2020backed Yes | 0c | 9,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Yes | 0c | 8,066$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…2cd9backed Yes | 0c | 7,020$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Yes | 0c | 6,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 2,970$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.