World Politics · resolved market
Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d717d8359889a7808ba3feb8352db829801b635ede02f5497ea8b0b680c5fa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,605,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,605,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x516a…6214backed Yes | 0c | 68,820$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…b056backed Yes | 0c | 68,557$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc680…c8a3backed Yes | 0c | 68,495$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…257bbacked Yes | 0c | 68,333$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…6dc5backed Yes | 0c | 67,984$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…0c05backed Yes | 0c | 67,698$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b0…ae2bbacked Yes | 0c | 67,556$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…03cfbacked Yes | 0c | 67,338$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…a495backed Yes | 0c | 66,946$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…0cc1backed Yes | 0c | 62,278$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…e3cdbacked Yes | 0c | 61,783$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2a…2e47backed Yes | 0c | 61,650$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e79…59e6backed Yes | 0c | 60,940$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b8abbacked Yes | 0c | 60,609$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…47ccbacked Yes | 0c | 59,413$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9e…92f8backed Yes | 0c | 58,966$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…45c8backed Yes | 0c | 58,856$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdea6…bdcabacked Yes | 0c | 58,680$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…e59bbacked Yes | 0c | 58,675$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…da62backed Yes | 0c | 58,474$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…dd5fbacked Yes | 0c | 58,419$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…470abacked Yes | 0c | 58,311$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…c4bfbacked Yes | 0c | 58,277$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb1…21f5backed Yes | 0c | 58,178$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77e0…9a6ebacked Yes | 0c | 58,024$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…a5ecbacked Yes | 0c | 57,387$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…7a44backed Yes | 0c | 56,142$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…ae66backed Yes | 0c | 54,032$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…d021backed Yes | 0c | 53,688$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02a…d663backed Yes | 0c | 53,495$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…3cccbacked Yes | 0c | 53,392$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057b…bc51backed Yes | 0c | 53,166$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x020d…5bb3backed Yes | 0c | 52,712$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…dd26backed Yes | 0c | 51,576$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…b08fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,125$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…78cebacked Yes | 0c | 49,299$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca02…a179backed Yes | 0c | 45,372$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…9cd4backed Yes | 0c | 45,062$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…9668backed Yes | 0c | 44,451$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c7…000ebacked Yes | 0c | 44,335$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…3d75backed Yes | 0c | 44,300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…5a20backed Yes | 0c | 44,286$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…0f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 43,196$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…2d8fbacked Yes | 0c | 43,094$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…201abacked Yes | 0c | 42,908$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce5…8af8backed Yes | 0c | 42,855$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…4974backed Yes | 0c | 42,079$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 0c | 40,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 0c | 36,360$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…d59abacked Yes | 0c | 36,179$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9300…d5d0backed Yes | 0c | 29,700$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…6bfcbacked Yes | 0c | 29,553$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…78e1backed Yes | 0c | 28,508$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…e758backed Yes | 0c | 27,960$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f09…d9f0backed Yes | 0c | 27,950$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…97ffbacked Yes | 0c | 27,913$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…4badbacked Yes | 0c | 27,863$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…7a75backed Yes | 0c | 27,800$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…13aebacked Yes | 0c | 27,745$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…66bebacked Yes | 0c | 27,732$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…a4babacked Yes | 0c | 27,697$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…db3abacked Yes | 0c | 27,647$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…c58ebacked Yes | 0c | 27,595$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…b481backed Yes | 0c | 27,542$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…785dbacked Yes | 0c | 27,486$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…5844backed Yes | 0c | 27,446$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…9833backed Yes | 0c | 27,389$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c1…a7b3backed Yes | 0c | 27,355$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…6307backed Yes | 0c | 27,297$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd087…9e67backed Yes | 0c | 27,236$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…4a33backed Yes | 0c | 27,191$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a1…b745backed Yes | 0c | 27,130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0e…32c2backed Yes | 0c | 25,666$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…adedbacked Yes | 0c | 20,346$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 17,038$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff47…d81fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,901$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…4aa4backed Yes | 0c | 10,374$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,756$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…f494backed Yes | 1c | 1,777$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.