World Politics · resolved market
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc12b9cfb9b3694dee7221b78ea7c1723ebfbee683efeabc0e047f3e547b4170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,873,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,175,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,873,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0286…0a72backed Yes | 3c | 483,821$12,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,124.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c05…0205backed Yes | 2c | 319,895$7,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,904.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…4710backed Yes | 5c | 244,779$13,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,161.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 0c | 180,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 17c | 132,137$22,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,313.19 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…1e32backed Yes | 2c | 123,915$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 87,565$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.85 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…65a5backed Yes | 3c | 86,447$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…dfd5backed Yes | 2c | 75,758$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 16c | 73,579$11,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800.56 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…12b2backed Yes | 5c | 71,708$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c5…442cbacked Yes | 2c | 70,490$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…bab3backed Yes | 9c | 68,371$6,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 3c | 61,614$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.48 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…dbb4backed Yes | 14c | 59,454$8,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,086.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 59,068$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.29 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…1a04backed Yes | 7c | 58,514$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 3c | 58,221$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.96 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 56,728$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.56 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…9df2backed Yes | 2c | 54,199$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 9c | 52,750$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d2…7961backed Yes | 16c | 52,123$8,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,082.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5211…d82cbacked Yes | 2c | 49,727$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 48,921$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,610.48 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 48,003$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.63 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 11c | 47,817$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,107.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…76fdbacked Yes | 2c | 47,692$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 14c | 41,969$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,797.38 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec7…5d2dbacked Yes | 1c | 41,756$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…03adbacked Yes | 2c | 39,740$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…d0dcbacked Yes | 15c | 37,879$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,624.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked Yes | 10c | 37,741$3,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Yes | 15c | 37,621$5,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc495…b276backed Yes | 3c | 36,787$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…83e1backed Yes | 13c | 35,608$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0048…ab1cbacked Yes | 6c | 35,111$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…4da1backed Yes | 7c | 34,025$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.72 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 16c | 33,305$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,218.76 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…dec7backed Yes | 4c | 33,103$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Yes | 15c | 31,622$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x856c…c15abacked Yes | 3c | 31,322$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 8c | 31,304$2,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.41 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Yes | 15c | 30,939$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…2938backed Yes | 2c | 30,182$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…66a6backed Yes | 1c | 29,381$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed Yes | 11c | 27,328$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…6f80backed Yes | 1c | 26,932$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed Yes | 2c | 25,453$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e4…ef6fbacked Yes | 1c | 25,195$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a02…4726backed Yes | 3c | 24,993$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1b84backed Yes | 2c | 24,381$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 11c | 24,245$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.25 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 11c | 24,129$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.06 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…5d08backed Yes | 3c | 24,117$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…f0f1backed Yes | 23c | 23,992$5,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 4c | 22,656$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.91 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…a16fbacked Yes | 2c | 22,653$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…26eebacked Yes | 3c | 22,324$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08d3…4914backed Yes | 4c | 22,218$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 11c | 21,367$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ba…13d3backed Yes | 12c | 21,060$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…d715backed Yes | 2c | 20,663$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d48…0253backed Yes | 3c | 20,627$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…fd48backed Yes | 14c | 20,621$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5129…add5backed Yes | 20c | 20,401$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…f118backed Yes | 5c | 20,358$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9be…d2b1backed Yes | 2c | 20,341$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…ac98backed Yes | 15c | 20,052$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…52e1backed Yes | 1c | 19,990$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b5…b17cbacked Yes | 14c | 18,905$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ca…77b6backed Yes | 1c | 18,800$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed Yes | 4c | 18,105$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 11c | 17,902$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.45 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…5d42backed Yes | 15c | 17,424$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe835…acf2backed Yes | 6c | 17,358$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…0e00backed Yes | 3c | 17,068$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…686dbacked Yes | 2c | 16,951$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…13ecbacked Yes | 3c | 16,823$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…261dbacked Yes | 7c | 16,797$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 15c | 16,712$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.28 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…c8b0backed Yes | 7c | 16,655$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…cc18backed Yes | 2c | 16,356$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0994…2668backed Yes | 4c | 16,040$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.96 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 14c | 16,000$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.02 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Yes | 10c | 15,985$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…e65cbacked Yes | 2c | 15,954$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…c7bfbacked Yes | 15c | 14,709$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…b221backed Yes | 7c | 14,144$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…a84dbacked Yes | 7c | 13,881$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Yes | 10c | 13,880$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9e…d12abacked Yes | 2c | 13,842$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…1abcbacked Yes | 7c | 13,704$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 15c | 13,702$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.21 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…029ebacked Yes | 2c | 13,670$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 13,506$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 6c | 13,076$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.68 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 3c | 12,719$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…4961backed Yes | 6c | 12,714$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…9c25backed Yes | 15c | 12,533$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539f…ed51backed Yes | 4c | 12,300$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?this page
- Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Carolina Tohá win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Eduardo Artés win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Harold Mayne-Nicholls win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Jaime Mulet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?No won
- Will Ximena Rincón win the Chilean presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.