TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91b0…4da1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$117.72
Spurs vs. Cavaliersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$263.61
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$106.94
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$29.31
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+63.5%+$14.91
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.64
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43.6%+$41.05
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.3%+$165.69
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+25%+$87.29
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.01
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$13.51
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$147.31
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+52.1%+$23.29
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$11.85
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$188.01
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$159.9
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+71.7%+$196.38
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+113.2%+$469.67
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$305.94
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. VMI Keydetsbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+25%+$21.5
Buffalo Bulls vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$45.2
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+26.9%+$63.35
South Alabama Jaguars vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked South Alabama Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.34
Long Beach State Beach vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Cal State Fullerton Titansbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+30%+$38.38
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. South Carolina Gamecocksbacked Virginia Tech Hokies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$40.63
USC Trojans vs. Oregon Ducksbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+36%+$43.16
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Syracuse Orangebacked Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+103.8%+$25.96
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
California Baptist Lancers vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Iona Gaels vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$22.55
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$23.7
SMU Mustangs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$89.17
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Lafayette Leopardsbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+84.6%+$45.61
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Michigan State Spartans vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+46.1%+$11.52
Colorado Buffaloes vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+69.9%+$91.37
Richmond Spiders vs. Furman Paladinsbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$45.22
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Utah Utesbacked Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Northwestern Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32.97
Davidson Wildcats vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$16.36
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UT Arlington Mavericksbacked UT Arlington Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$519.58
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$570.61
Will Irma Rosibel Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$604.74
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+104.8%+$209.5
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$158.58
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$2,432.72
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$785.32
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+83.6%+$334.4
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$620
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+62.3%+$124.68
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$134.89
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 18–21%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 15–18%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.8%+$1,302.29
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+117.9%+$344.61
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1560%9 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$312.83
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+34.5%+$76.43
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+47%+$87.94
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Falcons (BO1)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$20.83
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+48.1%+$16.85
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+81.2%+$20.12
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+84.9%+$87.44
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$21.28
Counter-Strike: NRG vs fnatic (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$26.3
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs JiJieHao (BO3)backed JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Zero Tenacity vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3)backed Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+400%+$80
Will São Paulo FC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will EC Bahia vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2025-11-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31.11
Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$212.87
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+239.2%+$243.91
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+100.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$31.53
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$359.27
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+146.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+279.3%+$683.71
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$90.53
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+63.4%+$119.13
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.4%+$33.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 322?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$70.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Pakistan Tri-Series: Pakistan vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$199.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$278.36
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+177.3%+$70.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+40.8%+$30.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.