TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

SMU Mustangs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SMU Mustangsof SMU Mustangs, Mississippi State Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed SMU Mustangs55c41,747$22,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,821.482,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs43c20,072$8,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,570.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Mississippi State Bulldogs51c9,984$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.848749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs47c6,672$3,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,108.1412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mississippi State Bulldogs43c4,721$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.9474649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9205944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs14c3,506$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,001.735,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mississippi State Bulldogs68c2,908$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.0455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c2,177$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.6811850%59 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs72c1,920$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.0969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Mississippi State Bulldogs43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.8513343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed SMU Mustangs55c1,188$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.986443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mississippi State Bulldogs47c1,067$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.751,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed SMU Mustangs31c901.72$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.155,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs47c847.63$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.194,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked SMU Mustangs51c646$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.541,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mississippi State Bulldogs59c593.73$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.431,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed SMU Mustangs15c581.05$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.413946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mississippi State Bulldogs76c559.99$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4271,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State Bulldogs44c477.19$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.052,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Mississippi State Bulldogs48c395.45$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed SMU Mustangs29c371.14$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed SMU Mustangs43c368.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9213219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed SMU Mustangs56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf87…a5a9backed SMU Mustangs58c308.34$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.191060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked SMU Mustangs37c297.06$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.271,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs51c286$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8663551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mississippi State Bulldogs65c265$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.452,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed SMU Mustangs44c225.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8239144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs51c214.35$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3217650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Mississippi State Bulldogs45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs52c198.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.653,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c186.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.349043.1%211 W · 279 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6215…2158backed Mississippi State Bulldogs62c184.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Mississippi State Bulldogs42c184.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.862030%6 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed SMU Mustangs58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.418956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Mississippi State Bulldogs47c171.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4332337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mississippi State Bulldogs47c161.97$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.127626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked SMU Mustangs29c158.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7615939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs75c143.33$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.110447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x91b0…4da1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs66c135.1$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.172650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked SMU Mustangs35c125$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.255556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca47…3ef4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs48c108.12$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Mississippi State Bulldogs50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed SMU Mustangs52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1579448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mississippi State Bulldogs44c96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2437835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6733…576abacked SMU Mustangs54c83.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mississippi State Bulldogs45c67.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.642,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6836…b5a6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c58.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…04f6backed SMU Mustangs55c55.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.884942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf381…5961backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c54.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs58c53.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.335949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs46c53.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.634947.9%167 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdaa…59e9backed SMU Mustangs54c53.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703f…6334backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c51.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7370…bdc1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c51.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1679…8525backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe15b…61f3backed SMU Mustangs52c50.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed SMU Mustangs60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Mississippi State Bulldogs43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.514035%49 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked SMU Mustangs63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5650…ea13backed SMU Mustangs53c47.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x456a…47aabacked SMU Mustangs53c47.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e8…df31backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c45.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f7…86d2backed SMU Mustangs53c43.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…7ca7backed SMU Mustangs53c43.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked SMU Mustangs58c42.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.896246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd362…b18cbacked SMU Mustangs52c42.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced9…cfaebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs48c40.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad8…e281backed SMU Mustangs54c40.19$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62cc…69b6backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c40.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked SMU Mustangs50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…b992backed SMU Mustangs54c39.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea50…32f7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c39.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…89afbacked SMU Mustangs53c38.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ac…4391backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c36.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked SMU Mustangs55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3613456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed SMU Mustangs55c36.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x994f…6ec1backed Mississippi State Bulldogs49c34.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf363…fb96backed Mississippi State Bulldogs47c34.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76f…3f7abacked SMU Mustangs58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked SMU Mustangs52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.171,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed SMU Mustangs42c33.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.336355.6%35 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…8108backed SMU Mustangs55c32.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb372…a025backed SMU Mustangs53c31.57$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd74d…38bbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs49c31.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23ad…f346backed SMU Mustangs54c29.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x681f…0fa0backed SMU Mustangs55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d9…09a9backed SMU Mustangs54c28.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked SMU Mustangs49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2816053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35d4…dbdcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs49c25.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…2afcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.