TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf87…a5a9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$73.03
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$173.49
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$165
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+62.3%+$73.16
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+58.7%+$102.35
Mavericks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$186.78
Pelicans vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$268.62
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.3%+$107.78
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+34%+$162.4
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$245.16
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+61.3%+$158.78
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$119.81
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$199.87
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Irvine Anteaters vs. San Jose State Spartansbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+53.9%+$60.9
San Diego Toreros vs. Long Beach State Beachbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
La Salle Explorers vs. Penn Quakersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$77
SMU Mustangs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+73.1%+$130.19
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Utah Utesbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Wofford Terriers vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+46.3%+$148.28
Ohio Bobcats vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$95.9
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.6%+$176.3
Boise State Broncos vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+63.2%+$213.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+56.3%+$76.58
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$20.39
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$795.95
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.4%+$268
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$271.22
All 7 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$91.64
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+63.9%+$62.66
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$230.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5)backed Team Liquid Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$100.77
Valorant: MIBR Female vs G2 Gozen (BO3)backed G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$489
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$573.95
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,659.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gwangju FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$50.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+51%+$129.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$157.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.