TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Flames, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$466,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 986 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes64c68,446$43,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,682.961,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Flames36c52,000$18,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,720.0230944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Hurricanes71c40,000$28,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,606.4842552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Flames29c31,222$9,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,054.2488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames4c12,106$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.151,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Flames30c10,387$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.157453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37b…cabbbacked Flames0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flames36c9,254$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,324.131,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Flames29c7,063$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.2938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Flames29c6,800$1,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,971.9432251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x663e…8f0dbacked Flames38c6,358$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.91944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes62c6,097$3,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.5799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Hurricanes70c5,942$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.615954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes64c4,064$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flames30c3,978$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.082,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hurricanes60c3,706$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.7527143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a56…4502backed Hurricanes69c3,692$2,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.521275%9 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49c4…b7a8backed Flames31c3,692$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60dd…60b5backed Flames31c3,612$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.72650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x444b…15eabacked Hurricanes69c3,612$2,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.721384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.37per pick48cpaid+78.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6012…1224backed Hurricanes69c3,581$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.111080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+64.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d4f…6c65backed Flames31c3,581$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.11875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+67.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aaa…0781backed Flames31c3,559$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.291060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f38…682abacked Hurricanes69c3,559$2,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.291070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf459…936ebacked Hurricanes69c3,242$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcb8…e08ebacked Flames31c3,242$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.021250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…8df9backed Flames31c3,148$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.88714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2368…94aebacked Hurricanes69c3,148$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b73…9cc9backed Hurricanes69c3,034$2,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…c766backed Flames31c3,034$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.54650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flames40c3,008$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.6585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe26c…155cbacked Flames31c2,986$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.661560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1338…5eabbacked Hurricanes69c2,986$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.661540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flames34c2,971$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.1695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…78d5backed Hurricanes69c2,940$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b51…6f2cbacked Flames31c2,940$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc2…2f00backed Hurricanes69c2,912$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc086…674fbacked Flames31c2,912$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+46.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0706…ddc9backed Hurricanes69c2,883$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.73955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…1b55backed Flames31c2,883$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31af…0244backed Hurricanes69c2,868$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeae2…4954backed Flames31c2,868$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.081163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87f9…1887backed Flames31c2,795$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207d…9407backed Hurricanes69c2,795$1,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.451250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8924…bec5backed Hurricanes69c2,750$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b13…9a6ebacked Flames31c2,750$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1a…25b4backed Flames30c2,738$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197c…7724backed Hurricanes69c2,675$1,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3285…b5a0backed Flames31c2,675$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1333…2cf4backed Flames31c2,663$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc47…db80backed Hurricanes69c2,663$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b3b…97debacked Flames31c2,659$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x523e…3c8cbacked Hurricanes69c2,659$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.291656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2f…95d3backed Hurricanes69c2,628$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.68977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a52…3b26backed Flames31c2,628$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes68c2,620$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes71c2,586$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.4768449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flames37c2,585$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.851,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a55…e7e9backed Flames31c2,579$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcca1…eea8backed Hurricanes69c2,579$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.49966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40df…7ad9backed Flames31c2,540$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac30…7063backed Hurricanes69c2,540$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c46…2d80backed Flames30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.041560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Flames43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07510352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfac…df26backed Flames31c2,460$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7e…5e27backed Hurricanes69c2,460$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa82a…cba8backed Hurricanes69c2,459$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.291560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc591…bccdbacked Flames31c2,459$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…13a8backed Hurricanes69c2,354$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.741752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e54…6a91backed Flames31c2,354$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.74955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b17…ec79backed Flames31c2,348$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.88850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6954…c522backed Hurricanes69c2,348$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.881172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Flames34c2,115$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.2542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaae9…a012backed Flames31c2,111$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x220a…51e1backed Hurricanes69c2,111$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.41650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Hurricanes68c2,095$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.4963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eec…2e9fbacked Hurricanes69c2,091$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e4d…b3eabacked Flames31c2,091$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.21862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flames30c2,089$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.3383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…77d2backed Flames31c2,050$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3be2…5a42backed Hurricanes69c2,050$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.51040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1744…3c8bbacked Hurricanes69c2,006$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.861080%8 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+65.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x504f…bdcabacked Flames31c2,006$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.861060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+41.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2df6…7d1ebacked Flames31c2,003$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05db…0c4fbacked Hurricanes69c2,003$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.93742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Flames36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7208134.6%28 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Hurricanes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Hurricanes68c2,000$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Flames30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9830552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa4…f30cbacked Flames31c1,986$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffef…d78abacked Hurricanes69c1,986$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.661241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6e…b10abacked Flames31c1,954$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e0…8853backed Hurricanes69c1,954$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.74771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d8…c155backed Hurricanes69c1,952$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ac…dd30backed Flames31c1,952$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b9…6994backed Hurricanes69c1,943$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…2bcabacked Flames31c1,943$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c20…8b67backed Flames31c1,932$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.921450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6e…cf36backed Hurricanes69c1,932$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.921275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+58.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf74…796fbacked Hurricanes69c1,917$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.271258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.