TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94e5…6cfe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Chess at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT4456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$6,678
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$447.92
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,398Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$6,397.81
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+88.5%+$1,079.99
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$600
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,724Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+120.2%+$4,475.96
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$800
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+37%+$60.21
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$1,600
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+35.1%+$520
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$589.07
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$790Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$790.37
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,210Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+34.4%+$1,790
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$999.18
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+145.4%+$918.31
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$130
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,546.37
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+25%+$253.6
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$356.94
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+100%+$267.71
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,510Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,509.83
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+100%+$500
Euro Basket: Finland vs Germanybacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.18
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Sloveniabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,139Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+37.3%+$797.09
EuroBasket: Finland vs. Georgiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$6.6
Euro Basket: Italy vs Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,941Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,573.19
Euro Basket: France vs Georgiabacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,685Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,684.96
Euro Basket: Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovinabacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+56.6%+$422.9
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Lithuaniabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,523.24
Euro Basket: Poland vs Belgiumbacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$953.36
Euro Basket: Spain vs Greecebacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Euro Basket: Israel vs Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+140%+$303.3
Euro Basket: France vs Polandbacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$210.25
Euro Basket: Italy vs Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$525.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Chess — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.21
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$2,464.6
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$787.49
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+51.5%+$340
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$261.49
Will Game 10 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST+42.9%+$264.65
Will Ding Liren win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$276.53
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 8 of the World Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+26.7%+$36.2
Will Game 8 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$618.25
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win Game 7 of the World Chess Championshipbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$420.37
Will game 6 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+49.3%+$369.05
Will game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$452.47
Will Ding Liren win game 5 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$112.5
World Chess Championship - Game 3backed Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$599.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$105
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,873Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+33.8%+$633.17
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$244.46
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$94.29
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$138
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,071Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+57.8%+$618.7
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$632.24
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$784.5
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Anna Bondarbacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$218.4
Guangzhou Open: Ella Seidel vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$155.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+119.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+33.3%+$258.78
Troy vs. Southern Missbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,837Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.5%+$487.75
Arkansas State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,509Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$1,509
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$3,995.38
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$76.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$45.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+46%+$630
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,512Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,512.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.