Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017e215cfdb764007ea82e1800cd2d7c2d8fea9e60b02963ae024f3a1bd49b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 499 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 24c | 60,000$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,550 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 68c | 44,286$30,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,161.83 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 72c | 37,480$26,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,859.72 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 32c | 35,620$11,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,224.6 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 31,831$9,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,184.11 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 14,686$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.96 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…d067backed Yes | 32c | 14,025$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,559.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 10,787$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,341.66 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 9c | 9,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,190 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 8,724$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.19 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b20…75d3backed Yes | 49c | 8,366$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,278.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 7,967$5,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,898.83 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked No | 70c | 7,929$5,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,567.24 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 60c | 7,425$4,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.57 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 31c | 5,710$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…d80abacked Yes | 32c | 4,392$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 32c | 4,361$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,965.76 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 4,316$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.22 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 26c | 3,780$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed Yes | 29c | 3,682$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…aa61backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 28c | 3,569$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 3,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 33c | 3,339$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,238.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 29c | 3,296$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.79 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 3,139$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 2,999$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.58 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…c1efbacked No | 33c | 2,900$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 74c | 2,696$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.29 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 2,550$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 27c | 2,499$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.26 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 29c | 2,414$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.79 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 61c | 2,403$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.26 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 66c | 2,187$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.51 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,176$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e1…b30fbacked Yes | 28c | 2,104$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.65 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 38c | 2,100$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…929abacked Yes | 16c | 2,079$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 69c | 2,049$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.25 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 18c | 1,847$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 31c | 1,800$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 47c | 1,781$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.44 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 1,650$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 31c | 1,639$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.71 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 1,527$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.69 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 34c | 1,489$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.63 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 29c | 1,356$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 1,351$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.65 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 1,343$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.07 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 33c | 1,207$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…1d3abacked Yes | 17c | 1,190$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 24c | 1,158$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.62 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 35c | 1,142$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.87 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,134$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.68 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,050$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Yes | 29c | 1,036$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Yes | 31c | 1,032$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.26 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 30c | 993.35$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.35 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 27c | 975.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d4…2037backed Yes | 62c | 966.24$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked Yes | 32c | 924.65$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 20c | 900$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 28c | 870.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.13 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 32c | 864.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Yes | 25c | 801.53$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 724.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.04 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…f19fbacked Yes | 30c | 720$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…feddbacked Yes | 35c | 716.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 28c | 708.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 69c | 699.99$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.99 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 30c | 699.91$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.93 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 685.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.58 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 28c | 677.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 666.75$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.49 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 67c | 628.46$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.56 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes | 32c | 627.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.12 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…335bbacked Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes | 43c | 599.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 590.03$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.64 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 78c | 589.78$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes | 67c | 574.63$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 69c | 571$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 22c | 566.59$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.59 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.