TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc47f…94b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST7731.2%24 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,806.39
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+426.3%+$582.63
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+183.4%+$265.64
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$89.86
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+454.1%+$908.12
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+73.3%+$801.27
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$872.09
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,813Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,813.18
Kings vs. Rocketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Trail Blazers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Spread: 76ers (-13.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$2,000
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+27.9%+$229.84
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$194.44
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$260
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$85.06
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+78.6%+$314.29
Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$257.58
Will Aston Villa vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+239.1%+$956.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$59
LoL: ZSM vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$182
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$540
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$311.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+170.3%+$85.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+184.1%+$1,056.65
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$152.98
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+69.5%+$208.47
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56.1
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$273
LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+39.2%+$251.84
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,014
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$668.3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+538.5%+$1,076.93
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,547.34
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$116.13
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$600
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$210
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+186.3%+$372.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+134.6%+$1,551.83
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+109.2%+$163.79
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+38.9%+$194.44
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+41.9%+$238.29
Golden Knights vs. Islandersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$160
UTEP Miners vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+79.8%+$93.33
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$448.55
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150.1%+$150.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$192.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.