Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b90badb221471970e3f3e4a34767b276e6b0a9b63a6d79072ec7788f8a48013
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 7,444$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 33c | 6,453$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.29 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 67c | 5,883$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,951.68 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed OG | 53c | 5,323$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.28 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 40c | 5,036$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.61 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed OG | 62c | 4,414$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.12 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked OG | 45c | 3,361$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.14 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 49c | 2,994$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.49 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 2,500$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.08 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed OG | 40c | 2,456$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.72 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 2,166$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.44 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 2,130$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.5 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 46c | 1,890$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.38 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,533$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed Team Spirit | 3c | 1,355$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed OG | 77c | 1,314$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.02 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 72c | 1,200$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.67 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,086$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.82 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed OG | 41c | 985.37$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.37 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 26c | 962.37$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.28 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 21c | 961.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 35c | 854.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.46 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 15c | 805.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Team Spirit | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed OG | 35c | 723.61$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.61 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 43c | 699.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.03 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 693.05$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.11 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 73c | 683.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed OG | 35c | 572.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 542.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed OG | 76c | 523.17$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked OG | 33c | 484.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.85 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed OG | 70c | 452.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 45c | 451.52$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 397.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…4629backed OG | 76c | 390.84$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Spirit | 60c | 331.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 34c | 308.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…b47ebacked Team Spirit | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 57c | 294.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6c…2527backed Team Spirit | 52c | 250.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Team Spirit | 9c | 237.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Spirit | 14c | 236.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…dc41backed OG | 42c | 232$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked OG | 47c | 212.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.67 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1a83backed Team Spirit | 48c | 207.35$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Team Spirit | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked OG | 44c | 199.89$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked OG | 33c | 184.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee8…6c2ebacked OG | 72c | 180.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…ba37backed Team Spirit | 25c | 175.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed OG | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed OG | 77c | 166.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed OG | 36c | 165.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Team Spirit | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed OG | 35c | 159.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Team Spirit | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed Team Spirit | 63c | 157.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed OG | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Spirit | 46c | 140$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked OG | 36c | 133.28$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team Spirit | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Spirit | 66c | 109.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Spirit | 16c | 100.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked OG | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…adb7backed OG | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked OG | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked OG | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked OG | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Team Spirit | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Spirit | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Team Spirit | 67c | 85.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Team Spirit | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed OG | 42c | 83.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…9db5backed OG | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 77.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked OG | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed OG | 35c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…e039backed Team Spirit | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed Team Spirit | 49c | 46.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed OG | 72c | 45.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed OG | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked OG | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Spirit | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 31c | 38.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked OG | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…d677backed Team Spirit | 56c | 35.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked OG | 46c | 32.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Spirit | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…8e89backed Team Spirit | 63c | 29.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…1dccbacked OG | 39c | 27.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)OG won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerOG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.