TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe35e…7754

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST4957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$39.27
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$783Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+52.9%+$414.41
Dota 2: Heroic vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$73.88
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Nemesis (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$189
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+71.9%+$148.49
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$44
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$40.6
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$576.69
Dota 2: OG vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$38.33
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$133.09
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$159.26
Dota 2: Heroic vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$147.58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$44.91
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+86.9%+$93
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$76.29
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$10.08
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.7%+$68.66
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Heroic (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+79.4%+$88.33
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$52.85
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+68.9%+$75.19
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+203%+$100.5
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+62.8%+$22.76
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+27.9%+$8.08
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Dons vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$95.65
Cal State Fullerton Titans vs. California-San Diego Tritonsbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$315.47
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+163.6%+$124.12
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+140.7%+$116.9
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Wagner Seahawksbacked Wagner Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$210.22
Maine Black Bears vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+27.8%+$124.05
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$194.1
Spread: High Point Panthers (-27.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.52
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppersbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.52
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+53.8%+$65.45
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$49.78
Idaho State Bengals vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked Utah Valley Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+42.9%+$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$147
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$37.7
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+122.2%+$60.5
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.08
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$98.8
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$165.2
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+38.4%+$38.38
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24.92
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$97.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$56.85
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$160.58
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+270.4%+$135.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$26.58
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$195.04
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+41.9%+$116.45
LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)backed Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+42.9%+$59.1
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$55.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Juncheng Shangbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$99.17
Brisbane International: Marta Kostyuk vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$319.96
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$232.3
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66%+$159.06
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$92.98
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+29.7%+$389
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.5%+$97.29
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$55.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$52.2
Avalanche vs. Flyersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26%+$15.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$86.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+43.6%+$17.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+35.4%+$41.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$243.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$223.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$377.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.