Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb50c3b3389ade2f78eb776b2030b7369638900b71a4e8f989ace46fdc15e62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 39c | 11,327$4,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,867.44 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 9,729$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 7,999$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.45 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 50c | 7,490$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.68 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 7,140$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.96 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 5,923$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,039.77 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,603$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Liquid | 46c | 4,730$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.69 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 56c | 4,438$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.28 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…b8a0backed Team Spirit | 30c | 3,184$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.62 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 2,863$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.2 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Spirit | 50c | 2,563$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.04 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…57e0backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,193$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,099$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.23 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,096$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.4 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 2,064$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.8 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Team Spirit | 4c | 1,899$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,813$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.36 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,687$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.52 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,675$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.36 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,650$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Liquid | 45c | 1,600$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 1,471$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,400$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.47 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Team Spirit | 2c | 1,240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,097$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.75 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,050$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.02 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 1,002$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.68 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid | 67c | 863.85$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.52 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 799.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Team Spirit | 45c | 797.66$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 748.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 648.19$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Liquid | 47c | 640.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.24 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Team Spirit | 2c | 629.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.64 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Team Spirit | 48c | 534.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Spirit | 10c | 533.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…d991backed Team Spirit | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Team Spirit | 30c | 470$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 441.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 403.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 401.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed Team Spirit | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Spirit | 58c | 355.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Team Liquid | 46c | 347.84$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 340.74$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 330$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…a4a0backed Team Spirit | 43c | 303.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad4…9484backed Team Spirit | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 298.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…d677backed Team Spirit | 56c | 269.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Team Spirit | 33c | 265.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…57a8backed Team Spirit | 39c | 255.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 38c | 249.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Liquid | 44c | 243.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid | 40c | 234.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 222.55$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Team Spirit | 52c | 201.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Team Spirit | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…f062backed Team Spirit | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 183.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Liquid | 53c | 162.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 158.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…7e25backed Team Liquid | 56c | 151.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90dc…5ba6backed Team Spirit | 45c | 144.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 143.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 58c | 138.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Spirit | 32c | 130$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Liquid | 40c | 121.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Team Spirit | 32c | 112$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Team Liquid | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Spirit | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Spirit | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 97.24$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Liquid | 50c | 96.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Liquid | 60c | 94.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…f3a0backed Team Liquid | 52c | 85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Team Spirit | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Team Spirit | 38c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Team Spirit | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Team Spirit | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 62.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Liquid | 56c | 62.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid | 71c | 58.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Team Liquid | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Liquid | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Team Spirit | 40c | 49.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Team Liquid | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…dd8bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 42.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…8bf2backed Team Liquid | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…f818backed Team Spirit | 59c | 41.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…3aafbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 41.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Team Liquid | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.