TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b0e…7e25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST3647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wizards vs. Spursbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$52.1
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$18.59
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60.72
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+125.2%+$21.56
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$10.31
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+41.6%+$34.72
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$171.41
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.37
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.82
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30.09
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.79
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23.64
Cavaliers vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20.15
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$39.85
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.66
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.97
Raptors vs. Heat: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.81
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.47
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+95.1%+$10.86
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.9%+$30.56
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.45
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+117.4%+$32.01
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+156.4%+$35.85
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST3537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.71
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.69
Kings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$15.09
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+66.7%+$9.55
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$47.13
Devils vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.08
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+58.7%+$21.19
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.55
Kings vs. Panthersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$33.32
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$31.73
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+129.1%+$73.33
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.83
Capitals vs. Wildbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.86
Ducks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.27
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$18.16
Utah vs. Bruinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.42
Blackhawks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+52.8%+$13.96
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25.58
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$17.07
Oilers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$10.21
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$36.92
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)backed Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7
Kings vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.33
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.4
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.97
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29%+$17.86
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$32.75
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+79.6%+$67.14
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$12.06
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15.18
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Runa Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Runa Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21.48
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)backed Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.61
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$22.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20.46
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$77.38
Counter-Strike: OG vs 500 (BO3)backed 500 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+86.1%+$38.11
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+69.8%+$107.84
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$14.19
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaquerosbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$23.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+55.8%+$6.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+47.5%+$28.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Konyaspor win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$12.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2025-12-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.