La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82e81745d355dc05475f649686e0d1d8922d343027dd5d35ba00275b7ce97b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $970,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $978,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $970,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 717 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 80,020$45,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,429.22 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 62,327$27,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,966.66 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 35,516$19,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,953.17 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 45c | 26,600$11,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,630 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 55c | 21,912$12,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,051.79 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 53c | 12,963$6,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,901.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 77c | 12,940$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 43c | 12,452$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097.43 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 11,609$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,519.24 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 30c | 10,996$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680.69 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 45c | 10,889$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,993.29 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 43c | 10,214$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,782 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 43c | 9,220$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.62 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 45c | 9,112$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.59 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 43c | 9,073$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.52 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 7,289$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.55 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 45c | 7,259$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004.5 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 7,000$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,702.42 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4486…d48abacked No | 44c | 5,070$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 56c | 5,005$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…5cacbacked No | 44c | 4,548$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,546.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…ee75backed No | 45c | 4,347$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21b…3716backed Yes | 55c | 4,339$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…378abacked Yes | 56c | 4,286$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 4,246$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.61 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 4,222$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…a0f5backed Yes | 56c | 4,048$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…0cc9backed No | 44c | 4,008$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 56c | 3,839$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 55c | 3,745$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.75 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…fb23backed No | 44c | 3,613$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 44c | 3,562$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.62 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 54c | 3,354$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.06 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…c2a9backed No | 44c | 3,343$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…8b63backed Yes | 56c | 3,243$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed No | 46c | 3,134$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…0437backed Yes | 56c | 3,119$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…79adbacked No | 44c | 3,046$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…da2cbacked Yes | 56c | 3,026$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6706…cd14backed Yes | 56c | 3,023$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…27f3backed Yes | 56c | 3,005$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 43c | 2,860$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.26 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…a60cbacked No | 44c | 2,812$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 24c | 2,800$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2e…8dfebacked Yes | 56c | 2,782$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6357…64b3backed No | 44c | 2,772$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…6f92backed Yes | 56c | 2,759$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54c…b42dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,722$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…5724backed No | 44c | 2,634$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…3ca8backed Yes | 56c | 2,582$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…2249backed No | 44c | 2,556$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5def…9a0bbacked No | 44c | 2,486$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…6960backed No | 44c | 2,438$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…3f52backed Yes | 56c | 2,433$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…e4f5backed No | 44c | 2,425$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf449…1c52backed No | 44c | 2,412$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 56c | 2,409$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…edc9backed No | 44c | 2,403$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked No | 44c | 2,400$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…f606backed Yes | 56c | 2,398$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…df22backed Yes | 56c | 2,396$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 44c | 2,386$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.31 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ce…e7d1backed No | 44c | 2,383$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…4b83backed Yes | 56c | 2,373$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…3150backed No | 44c | 2,358$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…3ca4backed Yes | 56c | 2,343$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb42f…1f6fbacked No | 44c | 2,335$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x728b…e8a4backed Yes | 56c | 2,287$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…263abacked Yes | 56c | 2,285$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf5…e00fbacked Yes | 56c | 2,284$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdd…56f3backed Yes | 56c | 2,245$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 2,209$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.85 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…1cefbacked No | 44c | 2,194$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…4e26backed Yes | 56c | 2,171$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f0…6326backed No | 44c | 2,156$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57a…177cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,130$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ad…2fefbacked No | 44c | 2,111$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc5…ce7dbacked No | 44c | 2,109$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…e91bbacked Yes | 56c | 2,109$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…d293backed No | 44c | 2,108$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…bf07backed Yes | 56c | 2,075$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c3…9ff9backed No | 44c | 2,069$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556d…a234backed Yes | 56c | 2,055$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…c6f3backed Yes | 56c | 2,054$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6601…72ccbacked No | 44c | 2,050$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf84c…fdb2backed No | 44c | 2,039$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 50c | 2,012$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…1a7bbacked No | 44c | 1,980$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…329abacked No | 44c | 1,974$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…b858backed No | 44c | 1,961$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733f…4db3backed Yes | 56c | 1,957$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…e2cabacked Yes | 56c | 1,941$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…a203backed No | 44c | 1,896$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 63c | 1,870$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8418…368fbacked No | 44c | 1,812$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will Girona FC win on 2025-12-12?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.