TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e0…024ebacked No74c53,005$39,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,781.266145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c44,832$11,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,656.3250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No74c10,463$7,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.42646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c9,177$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,756.734,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes19c6,458$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes26c5,476$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.8864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No73c5,284$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.443,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…8676backed Yes25c3,181$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0c…6ccebacked No75c3,181$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c2,600$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.151,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes29c1,800$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Yes65c1,527$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99930%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No75c1,301$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.253951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No73c1,299$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.8913969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes26c1,130$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.85650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No66c1,088$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.293946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes30c1,015$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9625248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c940.74$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No75c879.7$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes26c853.85$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45be…9306backed No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes6c555.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.122429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No62c508.56$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No74c505$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.323452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes23c499.97$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.2310441.3%43 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes25c457.02$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.37933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed No75c454.67$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.67560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed No39c450$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes24c431$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.961833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c375.14$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5529946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeec4…30b5backed No78c362.32$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No39c348$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6640033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c340$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.623762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No74c338.87$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2221842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2b…a74cbacked No75c320$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.59044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No80c285.34$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes73c275.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes25c266$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.523250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No76c264.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.87683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf45…1f5fbacked Yes26c253.85$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes24c241.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No75c232$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes26c228.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3815049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Yes26c205.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No74c184$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.843557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes18c156.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.054738.3%18 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7529…5cd7backed Yes32c155.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…2026backed Yes26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Yes65c151.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.45944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes26c140.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes23c138.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.928125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4eb…5857backed Yes19c121.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256731.3%21 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013936%50 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab5…aab4backed Yes40c110$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No75c108.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1714574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…6e7ebacked Yes22c105$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.454136.6%15 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc122…731fbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+109.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Yes25c99.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.194158.5%24 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No60c93.57$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4326930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0277…0677backed Yes26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes15c88.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.255724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb221…5c19backed Yes64c87.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No76c86.18$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.681275%9 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes25c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.537039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No74c69.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.957751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No75c68.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.965832.8%19 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…f8e1backed No75c62.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes21c60.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.85825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes26c59.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4331952.4%167 W · 152 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes67c58.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.215442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec76…1e40backed Yes26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes25c50.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.728558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5838…6912backed No75c50.52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ea…af23backed Yes20c50.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf1…7fc8backed Yes73c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd072…f8b6backed Yes62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312737%10 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb311…2b64backed Yes25c45.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.24333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3823947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Yes26c44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.585554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a90…e85bbacked Yes63c33.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x154b…4917backed No74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.584259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No76c29.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf042…8d10backed No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No74c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.039570.5%67 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick76cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673378.8%26 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x594a…6875backed Yes66c24.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked No74c23.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed No75c21.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.335646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.