TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fe8…2026

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39%+$99.35
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.7
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.58
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$42.96
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.66
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.22
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$253.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$304
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$167.3
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$294.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$103.2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$177.39
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$59.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$84
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.92
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+180.7%+$380.17
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$266.67
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+205%+$368.36
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.94
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.45
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$279
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+233.3%+$63
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+156.9%+$119.09
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$60.91
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+72.1%+$79.29
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$60.35
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.94
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$434.91
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$147.23
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+222.6%+$89.03
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+284.6%+$88.8
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Qairat FK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Qairat FK vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$41.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.19
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$212.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.5
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$48.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$9.22
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$141
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+139.5%+$308.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.