TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,928,906
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,858,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,928,906 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa72c…ced0backed Yes0c332,109$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.8714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes1c302,822$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057f…5c4abacked Yes0c94,824$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No78c68,444$53,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,057.6810558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c56,425$44,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,860.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Yes22c50,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Yes1c45,736$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.36333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb864…350dbacked Yes0c45,602$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e85…cf73backed Yes0c39,196$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c26…cba0backed Yes0c36,994$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes0c31,005$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes1c29,818$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30711526.1%30 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c27,939$21,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,821.371,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf244…c5dabacked Yes0c23,749$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c20,958$5,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.1517338.2%66 W · 107 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9de…cb78backed Yes0c19,600$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f67…4dd8backed Yes22c17,502$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe390…73ffbacked Yes0c17,300$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c16,652$4,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.7830031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No80c16,093$12,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.4635942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c47…f28fbacked Yes0c15,556$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes22c15,237$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,34410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb4…b07dbacked Yes0c14,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6270…5c6bbacked Yes0c13,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e2…2c11backed Yes0c13,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff1…0f45backed Yes0c12,917$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe3…a1f4backed Yes0c12,042$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…b76abacked Yes0c11,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88da…d50cbacked Yes3c11,222$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701d…11e4backed Yes1c11,173$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f1…055fbacked Yes0c10,205$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cc…3681backed Yes1c10,100$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f4…454bbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f59…d9d9backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes0c9,572$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.222944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfef6…b6a9backed Yes0c8,406$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c8,366$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.691,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450a…a7debacked Yes0c8,061$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…dbbfbacked Yes0c7,631$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No78c7,562$5,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.65887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes0c7,210$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb625…ca1bbacked Yes0c7,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4bf…1c24backed Yes0c6,945$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c60…d90bbacked Yes1c6,545$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.09520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-57.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c6,465$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.0976048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Yes23c6,391$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d40…7f1cbacked Yes0c5,555$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…27dfbacked Yes1c5,429$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9724…6229backed Yes0c5,333$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe45a…13ecbacked Yes0c5,284$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0e…f93abacked Yes1c5,029$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe712…9a10backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Yes0c4,879$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.446031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes25c4,654$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.774645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee4…2d0dbacked Yes1c4,620$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d7…554ebacked Yes4c4,583$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb354…32a6backed Yes1c4,543$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.464264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34b7…963abacked Yes21c4,500$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c4,359$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.031,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes22c4,132$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.529145.1%41 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c80…b414backed Yes24c4,039$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9bd…c9dcbacked Yes0c4,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74e…7cc8backed Yes0c3,948$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7c…e313backed Yes1c3,848$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes21c3,846$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.195040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ab…5a87backed Yes0c3,829$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes14c3,700$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52525954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb97…9febbacked Yes0c3,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fa…9125backed Yes3c3,424$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbd…2f41backed Yes1c3,416$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.74425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-64.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes23c3,326$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.995042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe088…5d56backed Yes1c3,280$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7652…c6c5backed Yes16c3,233$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.77911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-85.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes25c3,163$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.316225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c24…83f3backed Yes1c3,085$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Yes4c3,068$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf698…d462backed Yes1c3,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes24c3,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.967241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4557…bf49backed Yes5c2,701$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.224647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d6…a252backed Yes1c2,691$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Yes2c2,626$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.264555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6368…f74fbacked Yes2c2,545$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Yes22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5255248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92bd…a35ebacked Yes1c2,444$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1649…7d8abacked Yes25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes1c2,370$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked Yes3c2,265$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-75.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf19…2577backed Yes1c2,258$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…535bbacked Yes1c2,111$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes24c2,063$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaad…dcdbbacked Yes24c2,058$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ade…e09cbacked Yes1c2,051$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes20c2,021$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40117736.7%65 W · 112 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd923…aed5backed Yes1c2,001$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fff…2c36backed Yes3c1,988$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes5c1,947$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.357150.7%36 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.