TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb354…32a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+621.4%+$180.88
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+296%+$29.9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.26
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$28.4
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$23.9
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.4
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-26%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Premier League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$125.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.1%+$46.7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$172.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$34.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37.4%+$62.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$34.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$38.8
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$43.1
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.95
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+37%+$4.05
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+46.3%+$4.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.