TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,479,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,479,654 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Yes52c189,654$97,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,666.167753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No46c184,032$84,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,02011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed No45c166,568$74,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,955.516857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b9…51f6backed Yes56c99,999$55,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,332.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No46c68,536$31,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,759.042,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes51c60,000$30,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,40016040.6%65 W · 95 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No42c44,681$18,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,693.226,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes55c40,005$21,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,145.8751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c31,191$19,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,961.92,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes54c30,399$16,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,983.5714450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c27,455$12,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,876.221,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No49c24,444$11,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,910.8724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No48c23,173$11,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,123.036550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No48c22,222$10,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,666.554040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes56c21,500$12,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4605345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes54c19,365$10,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,823.721,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc821…6a7ebacked Yes55c18,674$10,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,403.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No49c17,980$8,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,802.564748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Yes53c15,575$8,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,320.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No38c15,000$5,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.3713852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No38c12,831$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,842.252334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Yes55c12,115$6,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,451.551637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c11,428$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.544,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes54c11,358$6,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,224.7717557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No14c11,237$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.256240.3%25 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes51c11,000$5,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,389.9813444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes51c10,908$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,34511149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No49c9,180$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,498.23060%18 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+59%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No49c9,080$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.394944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No49c9,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3807754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes75c8,305$6,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.335848.3%28 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes55c7,844$4,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.645560%33 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No47c7,491$3,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,535.5413151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No48c7,467$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.8816050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes56c7,143$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.869746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes79c7,000$5,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3609272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No46c6,581$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.581,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c6,484$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.712,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No23c6,226$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.831,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes56c6,219$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.673234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes57c6,041$3,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.0615534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No48c5,701$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.515939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Yes56c5,571$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.432638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No4c5,088$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9415735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4503855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No48c4,903$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.4910951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes54c4,672$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.212437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes56c4,411$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.8430143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No48c4,400$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.963641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed No49c4,199$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No46c4,000$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.9731053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No44c3,800$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.9956453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No48c3,576$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.487361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55b1…8063backed Yes53c3,450$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44083459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes55c2,952$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5812448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No10c2,682$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.391,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No49c2,615$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.0184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No48c2,550$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2249254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No49c2,466$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.425544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed No37c2,450$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.882245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes53c2,406$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.6649254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No46c2,200$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.979451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes56c2,057$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.1349544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes55c2,026$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.6818748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8805042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9007833.3%26 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No44c1,999$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.5572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No43c1,965$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84510236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.791520%3 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.182263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x90e7…814cbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f4…78e7backed Yes56c1,784$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No44c1,730$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.2924846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No47c1,690$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.8952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes55c1,668$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.4775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55e…19c7backed Yes55c1,636$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.362958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes79c1,625$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.0122458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f32…f204backed Yes51c1,600$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.661090%9 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No44c1,416$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.1539052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes54c1,315$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.8735652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes55c1,303$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.2827552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f9d…f2b3backed Yes55c1,294$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No28c1,260$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.993641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes77c1,212$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6315470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xbfc6…df85backed No44c1,188$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes56c1,120$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.634531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes53c1,057$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.63342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No23c1,052$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.334369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed No48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.