TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f32…f204

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 61 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+60.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$870.08
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$810
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$205.92
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$144
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.5
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+194.2%+$574.3
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.79
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$544.36
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$351.5
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$301.6
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$168
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$47.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+94.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$809Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+97.9%+$791.66
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$372.4
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$377
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$964.83
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$217
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+65.9%+$337.39
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$22.32
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$48.8
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$138.6
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$729
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$504.32
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$94.53
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$408
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.5
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$265
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.4
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.26
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$323.38
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Padres vs. White Soxbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick26cpaid+188.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$432.64
Virginia vs. Dukebacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+177.8%+$248.32
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$79.68
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+163.2%+$124
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MIBR (BO3)backed fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+110.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+194.1%+$462
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$570
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.