MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22cf5ab15cbe0f354c7caca9f4051f18194f6e0006e601c5b929129d2918e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof Padres, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,277,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,255,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox | 37c | 957,682$358,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599,159.59 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 63c | 378,968$238,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238,749.7 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 62c | 202,247$125,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,985.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 60c | 91,047$55,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,060.01 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 63c | 80,000$50,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,400 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 62c | 70,000$43,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,400 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox | 37c | 69,517$25,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,795.66 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 56c | 40,463$22,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,638.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Padres | 63c | 31,727$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Padres | 62c | 21,000$13,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,030 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,400 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Padres | 62c | 19,200$11,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,904.08 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres | 63c | 15,141$9,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,538.75 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed White Sox | 37c | 15,000$5,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,450 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Padres | 62c | 15,000$9,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,371.39 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 63c | 13,250$8,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,347.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed White Sox | 36c | 12,855$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,227.38 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 62c | 11,888$7,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,370.56 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed White Sox | 38c | 11,882$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,317.25 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 63c | 10,076$6,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,341.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Padres | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 48c | 9,881$4,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.51 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 49c | 9,723$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Padres | 62c | 8,108$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 62c | 8,100$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,022 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked White Sox | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed White Sox | 36c | 7,804$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.84 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked White Sox | 37c | 5,366$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.89 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 55c | 5,034$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.54 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox | 44c | 4,210$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.65 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb8…9ab0backed Padres | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 63c | 3,789$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Padres | 50c | 2,431$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.43 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed White Sox | 38c | 2,149$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.55 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.96 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox | 35c | 1,971$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.19 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Padres | 64c | 1,893$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.7 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked White Sox | 38c | 1,610$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1c…5386backed Padres | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.31 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked White Sox | 37c | 1,350$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Padres | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox | 37c | 1,071$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.79 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Padres | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.84 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Padres | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…1901backed Padres | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 55c | 938.12$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.39 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Padres | 23c | 908.5$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…51e1backed Padres | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Padres | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Padres | 63c | 880.95$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked White Sox | 54c | 838.19$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked White Sox | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Padres | 61c | 782$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.02 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Padres | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Padres | 64c | 762.42$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.95 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked White Sox | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked White Sox | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 39c | 699.97$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.98 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed White Sox | 37c | 658.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.03 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 41c | 629.8$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.18 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Padres | 33c | 612.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 37c | 603$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.89 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 43c | 600.28$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.98 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed White Sox | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Padres | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Padres | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Padres | 54c | 600$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox | 52c | 568.82$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed White Sox | 36c | 555.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed White Sox | 39c | 553$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.33 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 38c | 549.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.99 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox | 38c | 536.37$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres | 24c | 522.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.82 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…57adbacked White Sox | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…d7fcbacked Padres | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 63c | 499.8$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.92 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed White Sox | 39c | 454$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…587bbacked White Sox | 75c | 414.44$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…aee1backed White Sox | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…77e3backed Padres | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed White Sox | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Padres | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked White Sox | 37c | 294$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 72c | 283$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed White Sox | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Padres | 38c | 262.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Padres | 63c | 260$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Padres | 56c | 250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed White Sox | 39c | 249.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. White Soxthis page
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.