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MLB · resolved market

Padres vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Padres, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,277,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,255,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,277,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked White Sox37c957,682$358,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599,159.5938043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Padres63c378,968$238,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238,749.713246.2%61 W · 71 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres62c202,247$125,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,985.981,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres60c91,047$55,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,060.011,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Padres63c80,000$50,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,40044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres62c70,000$43,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,40048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox37c69,517$25,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,795.6660249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Padres56c40,463$22,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,638.671,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Padres63c31,727$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Padres62c21,000$13,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,03025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Padres62c20,000$12,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,40038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Padres62c19,200$11,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,904.0811759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Padres63c15,141$9,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,538.7541850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed White Sox37c15,000$5,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,45056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Padres62c15,000$9,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,371.3915553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Padres63c13,250$8,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,347.513065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed White Sox36c12,855$4,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,227.3835952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres62c11,888$7,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,370.5630255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed White Sox38c11,882$4,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,317.2578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Padres63c10,076$6,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,341.331,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Padres63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3007363%46 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox48c9,881$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,106.512,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Padres49c9,723$4,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,764.51,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3672…edbdbacked Padres62c8,108$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9909146.2%42 W · 49 L-11.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres62c8,100$5,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0221,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked White Sox37c8,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0401963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed White Sox36c7,804$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,994.8426949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked White Sox37c5,366$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.899135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Padres55c5,034$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.5412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10034245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed White Sox44c4,210$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.6533845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Padres63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres63c3,789$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.052,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres64c3,125$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00054048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Padres50c2,431$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.4311544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed White Sox38c2,149$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.5573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed White Sox38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9671751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked White Sox35c1,971$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.1943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x438f…28fabacked Padres64c1,893$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.75756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…5c7dbacked White Sox38c1,610$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.21850%9 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e1c…5386backed Padres63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox36c1,388$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.311,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ba…d03cbacked White Sox37c1,350$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.762965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Padres65c1,231$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed White Sox37c1,071$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.7917045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Padres52c1,067$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.8420747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fce…28f8backed Padres52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5509757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8a3…1901backed Padres63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox55c938.12$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.399,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Padres23c908.5$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21011637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5270…51e1backed Padres61c900$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Padres34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd39f…d494backed Padres63c880.95$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552025%5 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked White Sox54c838.19$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3861,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Padres65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked White Sox37c800$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50424040.8%98 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Padres61c782$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.024452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4662…b73abacked Padres64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001978.9%15 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Padres64c762.42$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9513249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked White Sox37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44113052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked White Sox37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4419651%49 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox39c699.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed White Sox37c658.78$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.0310451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Padres41c629.8$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.181,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Padres33c612.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.134057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox37c603$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8963152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Padres43c600.28$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed White Sox37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37810646.2%49 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd1…009bbacked Padres63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3784557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Padres63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6692…1125backed Padres54c600$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32313242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked White Sox52c568.82$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox36c555.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5556351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed White Sox39c553$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.3312436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox38c549.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.991,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked White Sox38c536.37$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.5551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres24c522.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f7…57adbacked White Sox39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3054100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf13b…d7fcbacked Padres63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres63c499.8$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.923,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Padres61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed White Sox39c454$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9444643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde2c…587bbacked White Sox75c414.44$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.47771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2055…aee1backed White Sox39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a08…77e3backed Padres64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed White Sox36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19240152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Padres26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783020%6 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked White Sox37c294$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.229450%47 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox72c283$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.846,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed White Sox37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2740144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed White Sox38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.167643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfe…4341backed Padres38c262.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Padres63c260$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.825548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed Padres56c250$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.756163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed White Sox39c249.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.4812152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.