TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6692…1125

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
30
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT13242.4%56 W · 76 L-14.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 132 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$691.1
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$146.41
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.69
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$49
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$128
Showing 25 of 132 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST4746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Patriots vs. Bills: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Spread: Bills (-8.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Spread: Cardinals (-6.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$31.5
Dolphins vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.94
Spread: Broncos (-7.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Jets vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$42
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Bills (-14.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Spread: Lions (-10.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$226
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.9%+$114.09
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+26.6%+$21
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$112.74
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.38
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+272.1%+$92.14
Grokipedia released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.5
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+90.5%+$95
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Real Sociedad vs. Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Getafe win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+41.6%+$88.27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$75
Will Athletic Club vs. Girona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$183
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.75
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$172
Will Levante UD win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$380
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Malmo FF win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Will Crvena Zvezda vs. Celtic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$144
Will Sport-Club Freiburg win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Real Betis win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+128.1%+$449.2
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Will SC Braga vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will FC Midtjylland vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick38cpaid-86.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$237
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$148
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.97
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.49
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$13.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lynx vs. Mercurybacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Aces vs. Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+137.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+81.1%+$895.82
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$429
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Megaquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+37%+$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Bolívar win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.