MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ef790ccc035a854d15bf4a6178554b0c5522b7c82477292b585b8fff177c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Reds, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 56c | 139,053$77,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,602.57 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Reds | 47c | 110,100$51,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,218.84 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 53c | 28,041$14,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,179.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Reds | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Reds | 44c | 16,666$7,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,333.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 52c | 15,734$8,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,516.41 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Reds | 58c | 10,657$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Brewers | 54c | 9,000$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,185 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 44c | 8,184$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.16 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 44c | 8,124$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.97 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 47c | 7,503$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,541.3 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 54c | 3,546$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.86 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Brewers | 53c | 2,136$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.36 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 54c | 2,000$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.06 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 47c | 1,976$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.64 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 54c | 1,770$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.01 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 41c | 1,681$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 58c | 1,199$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.87 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Brewers | 51c | 1,145$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.05 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Reds | 44c | 1,105$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.19 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Reds | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Reds | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Brewers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 45c | 999.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Reds | 52c | 883$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.1 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 55c | 699.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 46c | 656.49$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Reds | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 41c | 625.48$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.81 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Brewers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Brewers | 53c | 583$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Reds | 36c | 526.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.5 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Brewers | 54c | 500.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.91 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 55c | 489.78$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.44 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 56c | 486$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…da32backed Brewers | 66c | 413.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Brewers | 49c | 409.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.73 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 48c | 341.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Brewers | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers | 65c | 308.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 50c | 256.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 30c | 241.36$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 42c | 239.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Brewers | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Reds | 12c | 207.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…a721backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…f7a9backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…c984backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…d8cebacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…07d2backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…1ab1backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ac…9105backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…998bbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…5bbbbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…20b5backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf131…7d63backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…c1f2backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…ec29backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72bf…087fbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…fdb5backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d1…993ebacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…986fbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…77e2backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5658…711cbacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…d027backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…24f8backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…b4f5backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e672backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…59d5backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…27e1backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…3af5backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…56b5backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…d52abacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b8…fadebacked Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55e…0bf6backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…9026backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…7ac7backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bd…c891backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…e2b6backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…c515backed Brewers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…3450backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Reds | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Brewersthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.