TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc5d…d027

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$124
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$94
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Twins vs. Philliesbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$122
Twins vs. Rangersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$104
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$86
Canucks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Senators vs. Sabresbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Predators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Blues vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.12
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$80
Grizzlies vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$78
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 11 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.