MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7c20076afc41cae837cc98aa44f615f161d245d918da4dbf91c08c7ddec1ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,835,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,912,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,835,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 42c | 1,251,944$522,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729,610.26 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 58c | 394,769$228,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,965.95 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 58c | 190,000$110,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Guardians | 59c | 146,300$86,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,316.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 59c | 140,000$82,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,200 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 59c | 87,796$51,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,791.41 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 60c | 81,341$48,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,796.58 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers | 50c | 68,721$34,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,093.64 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Guardians | 58c | 47,619$27,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,619.25 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 59c | 43,395$25,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,585.78 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Guardians | 59c | 35,197$20,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,766.23 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Guardians | 58c | 33,000$19,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,140 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 45c | 30,129$13,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,602.26 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 59c | 30,011$17,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,706.6 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 40c | 28,076$11,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,844.96 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Guardians | 59c | 26,940$15,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,894.66 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Guardians | 58c | 25,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Tigers | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Guardians | 57c | 23,703$13,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,623.04 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Guardians | 58c | 22,222$12,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,888.76 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Tigers | 41c | 22,087$9,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,031.18 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers | 41c | 19,990$8,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730.42 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 59c | 15,555$9,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,177.44 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Guardians | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,699.96 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Tigers | 44c | 12,711$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,083.29 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 58c | 11,500$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,670 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Guardians | 58c | 7,109$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,123.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Guardians | 37c | 6,826$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.06 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 24c | 5,761$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Guardians | 58c | 5,626$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.17 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Guardians | 59c | 5,588$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.11 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb2…8b1ebacked Tigers | 43c | 5,349$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Guardians | 58c | 5,126$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.92 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…1dd8backed Tigers | 42c | 5,010$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.78 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8e…4ad8backed Guardians | 57c | 4,737$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…0b74backed Tigers | 43c | 4,654$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Guardians | 28c | 4,317$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 60c | 4,000$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Guardians | 58c | 3,716$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.28 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 34c | 3,694$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.29 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Tigers | 40c | 3,630$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 59c | 3,200$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tigers | 41c | 3,030$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.6 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Tigers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Tigers | 76c | 2,831$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.08 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 48c | 2,818$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.82 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…bec8backed Guardians | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…fefdbacked Guardians | 57c | 2,630$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Guardians | 59c | 2,569$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.71 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 58c | 2,454$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 58c | 2,431$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.49 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Guardians | 60c | 2,234$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Guardians | 59c | 2,100$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Tigers | 66c | 2,071$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.95 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Guardians | 26c | 2,067$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Guardians | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Guardians | 58c | 2,000$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Tigers | 65c | 1,836$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.61 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers | 43c | 1,750$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.49 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Tigers | 41c | 1,595$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.79 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Tigers | 63c | 1,568$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.54 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers | 62c | 1,561$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.34 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Guardians | 31c | 1,357$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Guardians | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 69c | 1,020$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.52 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Tigers | 43c | 1,008$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.56 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Guardians | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers | 42c | 999.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers | 44c | 909.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.77 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9c…a3f4backed Tigers | 43c | 899.99$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Guardians | 59c | 880.34$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Guardians | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Guardians | 59c | 799.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Guardians | 6c | 787.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Guardians | 58c | 755.36$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.81 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 5c | 755$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 51c | 726$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Guardians | 26c | 681.28$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.96 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…ec09backed Guardians | 57c | 676.98$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Guardians | 11c | 676.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Tigers | 42c | 661.02$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 33c | 647.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.09 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Guardians | 9c | 636$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.63 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Guardians | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 20c | 547.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Guardians | 5c | 500.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Guardians | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…fcb2backed Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Tigers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Tigers | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 58c | 480$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Tigers | 42c | 476$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Guardians | 56c | 458.7$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Guardians | 27c | 440.91$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tigers | 42c | 410$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.