TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc91a…c6b8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 66 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Athleticsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.15
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.61
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.96
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$1,013.97
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$162
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$144
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.15
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Cardinals vs. Brewersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$725.74
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$464.04
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.34
White Sox vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$124.38
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.88
Giants vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$145.85
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$560.36
Guardians vs. Tigersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Phillies vs. Athleticsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$384
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.6
Rangers vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$112.49
Will Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.72
Will Fulham vs. Leeds United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+98%+$99
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$601.88
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$67.67
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$260
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+62.8%+$436.8
Will Wolves win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+33.2%+$37.5
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$201.6
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+119.8%+$545
Will Brighton win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$126
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$59.8
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT+173%+$1,901.25
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$865
Will Arsenal win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+121.9%+$329.45
Will Leicester win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+142.5%+$1,170.81
Will Brentford win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$831Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$831.33
Will Ipswich win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.13
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,344.38
Will Everton win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+44%+$122.26
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.8
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST3171%22 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+63.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$36.91
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+284.6%+$148
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+354.5%+$936
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+276.7%+$73.45
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+34.1%+$213.85
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+334.8%+$154
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$63.41
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$383Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$101.81
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.01
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$144.91
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$993Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$993.05
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$215
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+52.8%+$88.71
Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$245
Thunder vs Timberwolves: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$129
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+52.1%+$400.09
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.98
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$667
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Over 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$450
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$205
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$878.7
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$269.99
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$527.99
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$420
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$168
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+73.9%+$170
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,548Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+110.7%+$1,713.38
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$648.24
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.81
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$920
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$961.09
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$654.5
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,498.51
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$1,479.66
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,087Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,003.66
All 19 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.5%+$15.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+27.4%+$336.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.