MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1777683101e9b00a59e5108b5663bcf9965114e0d6121e7398f5d388312094d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Blue Jays, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rays | 49c | 40,812$20,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,666.5 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 20,525$10,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,467.24 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 12,377$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,188.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rays | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Blue Jays | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 8,139$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.47 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Blue Jays | 0c | 5,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rays | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Rays | 50c | 1,121$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.36 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rays | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 73c | 978.71$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 51c | 974.93$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.72 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rays | 49c | 950$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.5 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 864$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 50c | 767$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.5 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 50c | 763$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.5 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Rays | 48c | 749.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 49c | 681.01$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 42c | 633.18$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Blue Jays | 52c | 571.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Rays | 51c | 489.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rays | 49c | 485.92$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.79 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ffd4backed Blue Jays | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…93a2backed Rays | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jays | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 66c | 253.47$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Blue Jays | 11c | 248.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 53c | 228.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 17c | 228$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…f8edbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rays | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Blue Jays | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Rays | 78c | 150$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Blue Jays | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 52c | 100.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Blue Jays | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Rays | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Rays | 55c | 94.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blue Jays | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Rays | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 20c | 77.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Rays | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Blue Jays | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Rays | 52c | 47.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6500…dc48backed Blue Jays | 50c | 46.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Rays | 51c | 42.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…07fabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…756dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blue Jays | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…6319backed Rays | 51c | 35.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…f16bbacked Rays | 50c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Blue Jays | 46c | 33.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…a91ebacked Blue Jays | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c0…e0babacked Blue Jays | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69a…1326backed Rays | 51c | 28.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rays | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.