TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x25cc…3601

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
152
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$394.36
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$506.09
Diamondbacks vs. Athleticsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$197.26
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.62
Giants vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.74
Astros vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$299.7
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.54
Braves vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.08
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$224.05
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$197.76
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.48
Pirates vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$251.83
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$206.95
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$198.42
Padres vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.08
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$190.05
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.51
Guardians vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$24.36
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+203%+$412.28
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.63
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$294.3
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$214.61
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.84
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.95
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.13
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.46
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$252.05
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$144.79
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$38.48
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$138.6
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.04
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$411.44
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$18.24
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$12.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2024, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Bears vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+85.2%+$15.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $cult launch in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$25.59
zkSync airdrop by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+233.3%+$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+108.3%+$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$61.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+37%+$8.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roaring Kitty billionaire by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.