TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$474,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x02d5…88c7backed Twins48c215,350$103,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,454.282356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,00086751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Red Sox54c65,683$35,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,214.2160451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins46c42,389$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,499.571,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins5c38,613$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.2141747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Red Sox52c37,724$19,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,107.3750852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins48c35,555$17,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,066.460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Red Sox52c25,900$13,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4326258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox52c15,500$8,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,4251,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Red Sox53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70024553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox53c8,025$4,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.435952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Red Sox52c6,600$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20014446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox58c6,443$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.959,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins4c5,085$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.796,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox52c4,933$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.392,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Sox52c4,444$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.0898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox52c4,393$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.831,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Red Sox54c3,500$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,61524248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Twins47c3,462$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.0838949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins48c3,098$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.2943247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Red Sox53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,41049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Red Sox53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.892254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6966…7a8dbacked Red Sox52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9604045%18 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Red Sox53c1,888$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.4695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Twins11c1,392$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1654345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Red Sox67c1,340$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.0796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins12c1,311$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.327733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox52c1,088$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.156451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox52c1,078$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Sox52c1,046$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.0941643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Red Sox51c1,042$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.741,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Red Sox49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.415358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Red Sox51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Red Sox53c966.24$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.1324253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7673352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…4d70backed Twins47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4232437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Red Sox53c884$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.4812939.5%51 W · 78 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27d1…a3e4backed Twins15c879.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Red Sox55c876.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0721246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins15c833.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.732,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…3ea3backed Red Sox51c827.45$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Red Sox76c722.86$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4360052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Twins48c640.17$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2870946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Twins47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88ae…41a4backed Red Sox54c632.89$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.092839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Red Sox53c600$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051a…98b9backed Red Sox54c458.33$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Twins47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…3601backed Red Sox52c412$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.7610550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62f…f330backed Twins50c400.01$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19914649.3%72 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox51c329$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8626355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox53c320$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Twins48c315$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Twins7c306.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Twins47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1412,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins48c295.83$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.631,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e30…66f2backed Red Sox53c289.35$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.142646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Red Sox53c285.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2828447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox52c275$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Twins54c267$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.2712868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox53c247$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.091,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbd…0f19backed Twins50c241.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9456440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18f4…8894backed Twins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf46…d661backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb023…4508backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a1…8065backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5018…d3eabacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc79…3e8dbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a04…bdf5backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb76…d412backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e1…51d0backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d35…0700backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8974…3468backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89e1…7207backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943959%23 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4858…0e39backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943850%19 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf372…d63dbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x133c…9c2fbacked Twins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944050%20 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e0…4847backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf1…a812backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f2…8717backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480a…8295backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…ee50backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce0b…a16fbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ce…3b7bbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f34…d5f7backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e60…9d17backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Twins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…5b02backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945364.2%34 W · 19 L+8.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5936…4c34backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945250%26 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Twins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Twins47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe09…d95cbacked Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ed…ca51backed Red Sox53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945453.7%29 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.