TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x133c…9c2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: NBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT4050%20 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Mets vs. Padresbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Red Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Marlins vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Dodgers vs. Redsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$82
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$106
Diamondbacks vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$90
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Braves vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Rays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$108
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$114
Athletics vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Royals vs. Cubsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$122
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2025, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$108
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$102
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$108
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$112
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$118
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$84
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.