TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Mariners, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dae…f8b2backed Angels65c35,632$23,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,480.8713352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Angels46c31,700$14,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,117.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners54c30,033$16,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,217.8448254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Angels43c20,818$8,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,914.2941747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mariners47c15,094$7,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,05429240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Angels40c7,457$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,456.8528646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Angels43c6,505$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.2313151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Mariners43c6,181$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,668.4638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners42c5,664$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.6717927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners38c5,518$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,110.6315642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Angels46c4,995$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners45c4,534$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.8615745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Mariners66c4,315$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.743842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x743e…16aebacked Mariners51c3,910$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.642231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners47c3,803$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.4586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Mariners54c3,000$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.4613247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels34c2,844$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.752,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Angels39c2,784$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.2454941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mariners39c2,759$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.5597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Angels39c2,757$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.4536047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners43c2,591$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.4821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Mariners56c2,502$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4006749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Angels46c2,456$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.1138949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Angels59c2,377$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.3343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels46c2,349$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.712,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Angels44c2,136$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.351,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels48c2,121$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Mariners36c2,013$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71830842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners53c2,002$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.8938249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mariners54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners54c1,646$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.6132852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Angels59c1,632$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.767143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Mariners54c1,563$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Angels49c1,168$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8919239.1%75 W · 117 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Mariners44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mariners54c1,120$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mariners55c1,038$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.465,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Mariners40c1,004$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7718349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Mariners34c1,004$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0611331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mariners54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0e…6527backed Mariners35c1,000$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked Mariners51c984.64$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners49c975.67$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.2854048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners38c854$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.529749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Angels59c767$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.4753448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Angels40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mariners54c735$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.91,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2313…3ee6backed Mariners55c676.05$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Mariners44c665.89$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.999759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners49c665.62$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.566645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Mariners64c546.42$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.7114966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Angels45c518.8$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.3424253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Angels46c499.99$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27016349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Mariners43c495.23$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9512949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners31c469.39$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.976,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a58ebacked Mariners66c465.02$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.911833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Mariners55c439$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Mariners45c431.13$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7739739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb653…85a4backed Angels46c396.38$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3814148.2%68 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Mariners43c378.3$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.471,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Mariners43c371.32$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.5716140.4%65 W · 96 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Mariners55c370.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.049332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Mariners57c368.6$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3911748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners46c364$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.861,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf15a…6df2backed Angels61c345.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.74447.7%21 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners44c330$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Mariners54c328.26$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.269448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Mariners37c325$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.75837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Angels46c324$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.961,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Mariners43c320.21$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8916651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mariners49c319.97$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15828447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mariners48c310.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Angels72c304.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.682,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners54c301.94$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.051,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1682,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Mariners34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Mariners56c269$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6411961.3%73 W · 46 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Mariners38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels46c252.92$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.151,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mariners41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc3b…f625backed Mariners51c241.42$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.817935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+63.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Mariners53c237.55$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.98156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9800…aaa3backed Mariners42c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Angels64c230$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Mariners36c224.38$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Angels46c221.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8711555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mariners53c219.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.591,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mariners56c219.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Mariners54c218.52$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1184045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Mariners54c216.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Angels56c216.54$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9511963.9%76 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.772,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Angels53c211.71$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Angels59c207.54$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8731547.3%149 W · 166 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels47c202$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.061,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.