TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x574e…3ef1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
988
Categories scored
37
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 66 out of 100; worst College Football at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT30443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 304 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,777.19
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,674.9
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+355.3%+$971.05
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,146.65
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$584.99
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,200
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$149
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$853.92
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$717Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+159.5%+$1,143.32
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,231.41
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,516Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+163.9%+$2,485.02
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$520
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,479.43
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,988.17
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$542.66
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,622Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+60.2%+$5,190.38
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,320
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,692.34
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,780
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$930
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,041Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,124.57
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+1,592.4%+$9,899.8
Showing 25 of 304 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT15745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$835Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+186.4%+$1,556.72
Rangers vs. Marinersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$351.93
Mets vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
Mariners vs. Angelsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,055Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,054.86
Phillies vs. Yankeesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+192.9%+$3,858.16
Diamondbacks vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,058.88
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,077.69
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$972
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+184.1%+$405.45
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.65
Brewers vs. Marinersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,689.5
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT+44.7%+$1,698.05
Angels vs. Metsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$428.58
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$536
Reds vs. Metsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,422.38
Yankees vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Reds vs. Metsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+203.5%+$708.23
Will Junior Caminero win the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$202.33
Rangers vs. Astrosbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,317.79
Phillies vs. Padresbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12,777Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,777.26
Nationals vs. Brewersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$626.76
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,140
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,241.39
Guardians vs. White Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+95%+$3,800.19
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,049.97
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$331.06
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+100%+$750
Will Jalen Hurts win Super Bowl LIX MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$398.09
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,058Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+107.5%+$2,211.7
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+112.5%+$3,330.66
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+100%+$500
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,576Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$6,576.1
Will Jared Goff win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.95
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,360
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$8,423.52
Will the Bills beat the Commanders in Super Bowl LIX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$327
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$104.5
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,730
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,278.6
Will CeeDee Lamb be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Flex Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.62
Will Saquon Barkley be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Christian McCaffrey be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$870.6
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the top Fantasy Running Back?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$69
Seahawks vs. Ramsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+33.4%+$2,490.39
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,080.62
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT6050%30 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,953Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,953.22
UFC Fight Night: Mitchell vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Nurmagomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$7,034.93
UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshearbacked Blackshear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,260.07
UFC Fight Night: Yahya vs. Nguyenbacked Nguyen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,683Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,227.78
UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchechabacked Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,700.64
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$3,599.78
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez backed Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$330
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,624.99
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuberbacked Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,661.76
UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+72.6%+$831.54
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+109.5%+$362.69
UFC 318: Fugitt vs. Dulatovbacked Fugitt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$140
UFC 318: Crute vs. Prachniobacked Crute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$644.98
UFC 318: Spann vs. Brzeskibacked Brzeski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$310
UFC 318: Ferreira vs. McVeybacked Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+25.4%+$1,219.5
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Bonfimbacked Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+25.8%+$1,230
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Kattar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$851.45
UFC Fight Night: Petrino vs. Lanebacked Lane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.71
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Walkerbacked Nzechukwu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,299.99
UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. Davisbacked Ramirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.56
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,814Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$1,357.87
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,931Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$827.71
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$960
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,817.97
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT5843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,459.2
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$7,471Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$5,870.46
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22,109.16
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,515Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+96.6%+$10,152.38
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,178.49
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,874Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,874.29
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+225.2%+$692.5
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$1,012.96
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,963Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+103.3%+$2,027.69
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,498.01
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$529.01
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$913Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+178.7%+$1,632.13
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$802.79
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,196
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.18
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,040.58
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+861.7%+$821.24
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,365Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$6,798.79
Jets vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,160
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.45
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+125.9%+$30.09
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,071.66
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$920
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3930.8%12 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$63.1
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,192Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+175%+$3,837.32
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,309.54
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.88
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$651.93
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,080
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.25
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$702Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,052.54
Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,783Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+130.5%+$2,326.6
Will Bill Clinton be named in Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+172.4%+$629.48
US military action against Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,040
Trump trade deal in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$2,280
Will TikTok be banned again before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+203.8%+$1,912.13
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,598Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+78.1%+$8,278.01
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$705.88
Will Trump announce tariffs on Venezuela on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.32
Trump executive order ending Department of Education by Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.29
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$6,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,835.81
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,333.19
Will Brad Garlinghouse attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.62
Trump releases Epstein list today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,063.25
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,410
Will RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$4,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,637.58
Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$361.04
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$321.51
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,384Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,383.68
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000.5
Houston vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,500
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,813Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+72%+$2,026.47
March Madness: Will 4 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+1,187.1%+$4,010.77
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$621Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$620.85
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,049
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$505.11
Purdue vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,671Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$2,002.68
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+114.4%+$1,067
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$583.74
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,838Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$1,417.73
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,534
UConn vs. Floridabacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.78
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.15
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$621.62
New Mexico vs. Marquettebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$8,196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+167.2%+$13,704
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,646.51
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,945Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+118.3%+$2,300.6
St. Mary's vs. American Universitybacked American University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,365.28
St. Francis (PA) vs. Alabama Statebacked St. Francis (PA) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,901.49
Creighton vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+37.2%+$497.89
Marquette vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$696Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$644.07
Villanova vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,964Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$1,041.25
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2853.6%15 W · 13 L+7.7wins+0.27per pick26cpaid+103.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opensea launch a token by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+400.5%+$1,148.3
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,443Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,443.43
Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$3,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,351.22
OpenSea airdrop before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+336.2%+$1,257.05
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$994Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+385.4%+$3,832.62
Will Kanye launch a coin in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$850
OpenSea airdrop before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+119%+$5,298.94
Pump.fun airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,499.54
Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10,051.62
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+94.5%+$901.92
Berachain airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+109.4%+$1,452.46
Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$687.02
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$771Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$771.05
Zircuit airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$1,882.08
Swell airdrop in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$1,341.83
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$122.23
Zircuit airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,599Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+335.6%+$8,721.84
Swell airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+650.2%+$4,040.98
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$981Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+312.7%+$3,066.22
Puffer airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+545%+$1,679.86
MarginFi airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+66%+$676.9
Swell airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+587.6%+$10,953.91
Blast airdrop by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$379.03
Is $DJT real?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT+54.3%+$9,236.61
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Cerundolo vs. Bublikbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.92
Nordea Open: Baez vs. Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$460
Swiss Open: Ruud vs. Cerundolobacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,624Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,624.46
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$4,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,325.71
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+39%+$1,775.35
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,285.66
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Swiatek (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,763Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+33.8%+$2,286.08
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,646.91
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,334
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Dimitrov backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,492Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,219.72
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,663Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$2,362.87
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Navarro (W)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$107.95
Wimbledon: Swiatek vs. McNally (W) backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,818Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+74.1%+$2,087.71
Wimbledon: Rinderknech vs. Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,107.84
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Perricardbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,623Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+93.7%+$1,520.43
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,920Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$4,079.97
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,436Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,435.82
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Miami Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$480
Miami Open: Cerundolo vs Dimitrovbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Indian Wells Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,673Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,672.97
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,781Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+151.3%+$4,206.3
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$260
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+291.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+253.4%+$4,628.64
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11,591Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11,590.54
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,855Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+182.3%+$5,205.11
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17,852Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$10,926.15
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,031Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$1,010.33
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19,717.3
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28,479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28,478.57
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$875Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,625
Canada election called by midnight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+4,826.7%+$7,135.52
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$900
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39,913Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+27%+$10,786.02
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,659Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,658.92
Canada election called before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,066.77
Trump tariffs on Canada in effect by May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during Macron presser today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
X banned in Brazil by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$218.66
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$108.77
Dortmund vs. Monterrey: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$948.91
FIFA Club World Cup: Manchester City vs. Al Hilal (To Advance)backed Al Hilal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$244.39
FIFA Club World Cup: Inter Milan vs. Fluminense (To Advance)backed Fluminense · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$114.17
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,973Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$4,855.89
Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,518Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$710.2
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,682.36
Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,089Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,089.01
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$6,654Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$2,337.93
Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$1,485.99
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$999.82
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$929.54
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$295.23
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+56.9%+$41.36
All 16 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick38cpaid-87.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
College Football — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$143.27
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$8,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$8,293.72
North Texas vs. Texas Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,737.95
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+95.3%+$1,540.32
Ohio State vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,760
Texas vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,492.65
South Carolina vs. Illinoisbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$480
Alabama vs. Michiganbacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$451.33
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado Statebacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$601.31
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$3,388.82
Pittsburgh vs. Toledobacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,681Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$3,681.28
South Florida vs. San José Statebacked San José State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$1,264.17
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$2,700
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$16.35
Georgia vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,371Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$7,370.77
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-56.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$339.47
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$876Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$876.14
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,334Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+35%+$1,166.42
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,605.24
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$757Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$330.62
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Saudi Arabian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.42
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$205
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,988Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$1,144.6
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,824Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+90.1%+$2,545.12
Will Carlos Sainz win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$78.39
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2024 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$274.19
Will Sierra Leone win the 2024 Kentucky Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$117
Will Just a Touch win the 2024 Kentucky Derby?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$28
Will Ben Armstrong vs. More Light have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2024, EST-100%-$140.1
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2025, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.68
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$762.33
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$710
Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$360
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$360
Will Stancil wins Minnesota House Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.36
Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 30-40% of the vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2024, EST-100%-$135
Will Trump win the Michigan Primary by between 20-30% of the vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2024, EST-100%-$201.33
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2024, EST-100%-$636
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,665Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2024, EST-100%-$1,664.64
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$180.45
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 2.5-5%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$29.6
Will Trump lose the New Hampshire Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+285.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 achieve a succesful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+71.3%+$1,056.94
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 Superheavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$156.38
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+3,233.3%+$1,940
SpaceX 7th Starship Super Heavy blows up?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$998.18
SpaceX 7th Starship upper stage successful splash down?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$73.78
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,998.37
SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$132.42
Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$539.99
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$992Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST+285.1%+$2,829.28
SpaceX Starship launch today? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$130.38
Stranded astronauts depart on Boeing Starliner by July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2024, EDT+252.4%+$1,349.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$1,975.84
Will Jake Paul win by points or technical decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$532.57
Will Fury beat Usyk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$960.21
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+81.8%+$92.12
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12,509Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+72.3%+$9,048.78
Will Imane Khelif (ALG) win Gold in Women’s 66kg Boxing at the 2024 Summer Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,073.74
Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$86.58
Who will win: Ansem vs. Tatebacked Ansem · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2024, EDT+106.6%+$51.7
Will Tyson Fury beat Oleksandr Usyk in Ring of Fire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$680.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-27.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,031.67
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$2,841.08
Delhi Capitals vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,514.55
Australia vs. Scotland - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$323.75
USA vs. Ireland - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT+134.3%+$1,681.09
Afghanistan vs. New Guinea - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked New Guinea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$24
England vs. Oman - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
West Indies vs. New Zealand - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2024, EDT+71.5%+$198.46
USA vs. India - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$202.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,613Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$455.05
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$260.96
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.04
Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.54
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Jerome Powell say "Soft landing" during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$77.48
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,286Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+25.9%+$333.41
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$739.44
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,865.88
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 16, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 12, 2024, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2024, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+65.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+390.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok sale announced before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$821.81
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$350
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gold Cup Final Winner: USA vs. Mexico backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.05
Concacaf Gold Cup: USA vs. Costa Rica (To Advance) backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$2,443.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,051.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alan Keating biggest loser?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2024, EDT+1,051.5%+$867.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,720Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,280
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beryl hit the US as a tropical storm?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye tweet between 200-249 times February 8-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2025, EST-100%-$21.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.