NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec7541870ecdadacc026fbb1b5cab1f66934a28fdcaaa1fda7816e1f68509721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Islanders | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Islanders | 39c | 5,232$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.58 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Lightning | 61c | 4,942$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Lightning | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Islanders | 40c | 4,319$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Lightning | 61c | 4,137$2,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.84 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Lightning | 61c | 4,098$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Lightning | 51c | 3,819$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.23 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Lightning | 63c | 3,187$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.79 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Lightning | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Islanders | 39c | 2,642$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.38 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Islanders | 38c | 2,514$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.31 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Lightning | 61c | 2,318$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.31 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 60c | 2,013$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.39 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.03 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Islanders | 38c | 1,816$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.79 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 39c | 1,755$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.26 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 38c | 1,567$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.42 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…5040backed Islanders | 38c | 1,331$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…e7acbacked Lightning | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders | 39c | 1,097$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.83 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 60c | 839.07$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Lightning | 60c | 742.4$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Islanders | 38c | 673.23$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.83 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Islanders | 32c | 650$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 38c | 632$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lightning | 60c | 601$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Islanders | 41c | 486.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf296…9839backed Lightning | 60c | 321.66$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Lightning | 61c | 311$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lightning | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Islanders | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Islanders | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 39c | 260.11$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.44 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Islanders | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 74c | 242.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…8cbcbacked Lightning | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Lightning | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 39c | 179.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Islanders | 32c | 163.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Lightning | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6d…7d7cbacked Islanders | 39c | 159$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…0f5dbacked Lightning | 61c | 159$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e3acbacked Islanders | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…5dd7backed Lightning | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…57d0backed Lightning | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…6c73backed Islanders | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…9ae6backed Islanders | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…894abacked Lightning | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 12c | 142.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…e810backed Lightning | 65c | 138.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…ff63backed Islanders | 40c | 136.18$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…329ebacked Islanders | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Islanders | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Lightning | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…28c2backed Islanders | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…3655backed Lightning | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Lightning | 61c | 117.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa343…135bbacked Islanders | 40c | 115.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…e3a4backed Islanders | 40c | 115.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 61c | 113.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Lightning | 60c | 109.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Islanders | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 38c | 104.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d06…59c8backed Lightning | 61c | 100.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Lightning | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…5ddebacked Lightning | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…8a0cbacked Lightning | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Islanders | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…804cbacked Islanders | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…b88cbacked Lightning | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Islanders | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Lightning | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Lightning | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Lightning | 62c | 97.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd4…853dbacked Lightning | 61c | 97.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Islanders | 40c | 94.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…4b22backed Islanders | 40c | 92.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6c…cee2backed Lightning | 61c | 88.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…2465backed Lightning | 61c | 88.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…3cbbbacked Lightning | 61c | 88.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb24…df3fbacked Lightning | 61c | 85.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…72fcbacked Islanders | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…2964backed Lightning | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed Lightning | 65c | 84.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Lightning | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Islanders | 42c | 78.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…9686backed Lightning | 61c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…3ec4backed Islanders | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…99b1backed Islanders | 41c | 77.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…0a69backed Lightning | 61c | 77.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…a281backed Lightning | 61c | 76.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…b88abacked Lightning | 61c | 74.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…51d5backed Islanders | 40c | 73.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…94c9backed Islanders | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…8926backed Lightning | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…206bbacked Islanders | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…4486backed Islanders | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…73fbbacked Lightning | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.